The electoral map in 20 years (user search)
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  The electoral map in 20 years (search mode)
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Author Topic: The electoral map in 20 years  (Read 8613 times)
Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« on: December 17, 2015, 09:08:31 PM »

Absolutely not. Texan hispanics are more republican on average substantially Abott actually won hispanic males. Also, third generation hispanics are more likely to be republican.
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Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« Reply #1 on: December 18, 2015, 08:21:41 AM »




I think about of posters have TX as a toss up in the future due to increased minority (Latino) voters.   Also more people are moving there from all parts of the country.  It will take a few more elections for it to start showing .. 2024?    But 20 years is almost like a generation.   

But honestly all of this is hard to predict because events and other factors wars, recessions etc.. an make one party rise and the other fall.  The Bush 2000's really set the Republicans back for awhile. 
It is important ton note that A. Latino population growth is declining. B. Latino turnout is dismal C. Texas latinos are FAR more conservative than the national average.

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Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2015, 06:31:28 PM »




I think about of posters have TX as a toss up in the future due to increased minority (Latino) voters.   Also more people are moving there from all parts of the country.  It will take a few more elections for it to start showing .. 2024?    But 20 years is almost like a generation.   

But honestly all of this is hard to predict because events and other factors wars, recessions etc.. an make one party rise and the other fall.  The Bush 2000's really set the Republicans back for awhile. 
It is important ton note that A. Latino population growth is declining. B. Latino turnout is dismal C. Texas latinos are FAR more conservative than the national average.



The underlined quote is true, but Texas Latinos are still a Democratic constituency.  In addition, the National Republican Party has worked overtime to offend Latinos to the point where the 40% of the Latino vote George W. Bush once received in Texas will be hard to approach.
Greg Abott WON hispanic males. so clearly it isn't out of reach.
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