Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,074
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« on: December 17, 2015, 10:00:42 PM » |
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Twenty years ago:
-West Virginia was a solidly Democratic state that even a doomed Jimmy Carter carried in 1980.
-Virginia leaned Republican despite the recent loss of Oliver North for Senate.
-Florida had voted for the loser in 1992.
-Arizona had not gone Democratic since 1948.
-Vermont had voted Democratic only twice.
-New Hampshire was considered a conservative state.
-Muslims were swing voters.
-Arkansas had been the most Democratic state in the previous election.
-Washington and Oregon were viewed as only Democratic leaning.
-Despite 1994, Democrats were over 200 in the House and even held UT-03.
-California was a "critical swing state."
All of this is totally untrue today, but basically nobody would have been able to predict most of the shifts since then. Don't assume a trend can't halt or even be reversed.
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