The electoral map in 10 years
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April 27, 2024, 08:21:29 AM
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  The electoral map in 10 years
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Author Topic: The electoral map in 10 years  (Read 17334 times)
MK
Mike Keller
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« Reply #75 on: November 26, 2015, 02:08:56 AM »


The thing is all those states could sway republican if dems screw up badly. 
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henster
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« Reply #76 on: November 26, 2015, 02:29:27 PM »

The thing about PA is most of the growth in the state is in the Philly suburbs area which has trended Democratic. The areas Republicans need to win the state are declining steadily in population.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #77 on: November 27, 2015, 12:47:44 PM »

The thing about PA is most of the growth in the state is in the Philly suburbs area which has trended Democratic. The areas Republicans need to win the state are declining steadily in population.

Actually, the Philly suburbs are just a very swingy area- they strongly trended from Obama '08 to Romney '12.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #78 on: November 27, 2015, 01:38:53 PM »

The thing about PA is most of the growth in the state is in the Philly suburbs area which has trended Democratic. The areas Republicans need to win the state are declining steadily in population.

Actually, the Philly suburbs are just a very swingy area- they strongly trended from Obama '08 to Romney '12.

They've gone from deep blue to light red over the past 20 years. They most certainly have trended Dem.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #79 on: November 27, 2015, 03:33:42 PM »

AZ Should be considered as a battleground along with NV & CO.
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Mallow
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« Reply #80 on: December 06, 2015, 02:57:46 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2015, 02:59:53 PM by Mallow »

Not as many changes as some others foresee. Can't post the map yet, but I've copied the pertinent part of the link at the bottom (with added carriage returns for the sake of viewing).

Solid Dem: WA, OR, CA, HI, NM, IL, MI, ME, VT, NY MA, CT, RI, NJ, MD, DC
Likely Dem: NV, MN, WI, PA, DE, VA
Lean Dem: NH, NC
Tossup: CO, IA, OH, FL
Lean Rep: AZ, GA
Likely Rep: TX, MO, IN
Solid Rep: AK, ID, UT, MT, WY, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, AR, LA, KY, TN, MS, AL, WV, SC

year=2024&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=0&type=calc
&AL=2;9;9&AK=2;3;9&AZ=2;11;3&AR=2;6;9&CA=1;55;9&CO=0;9;5&CT=1;7;9&DE=1;3;6
&DC=1;3;9&FL=0;29;5&GA=2;16;3&HI=1;4;9&ID=2;4;9&IL=1;20;9&IN=2;11;6&IA=0;6;5
&KS=2;6;9&KY=2;8;9&LA=2;8;9&MD=1;10;9&MA=1;11;9&MI=1;16;9&MN=1;10;6&MS=2;6;9
&MO=2;10;6&MT=2;3;9&NV=1;6;6&NH=1;4;3&NJ=1;14;9&NM=1;5;9&NY=1;29;9&NC=1;15;3
&ND=2;3;9&OH=0;18;5&OK=2;7;9&OR=1;7;9&PA=1;20;6&RI=1;4;9&SC=2;9;9&SD=2;3;9
&TN=2;11;9&TX=2;38;6&UT=2;6;9&VT=1;3;9&VA=1;13;6&WA=1;12;9&WV=2;5;9&WI=1;10;6
&WY=2;3;9&ME=1;2;9&ME1=1;1;9&ME2=1;1;3&NE=2;2;9&NE1=2;1;6&NE2=2;1;9&NE3=2;1;9
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