ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: November 28, 2015, 12:09:16 AM » |
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Good luck. What they'll need for 2020:
- Very good gains in 2018 with the Governorships (and 2020, but a majority are in 2018), and with lots of open seats opportunities will be plentiful. - 2020 needs to be a good year for Democrats. They need either a very unpopular Republican president who gets booted out a la Jimmy Carter, or a 1964 redux where the Republicans nominate someone extreme or unelectable against the incumbent Democrat. The downballot effect in those two scenarios will be big enough to flip several legislative chambers in time for redistricting. - Democrats need to start caring about every race, not just the national ones, and need to turnout. Not only that, Democratic candidates also need to run top-tier recruits, something absent in recent years as many state benches have been decimated.
But let's also be realistic, they're so far behind in some states they need like Michigan and Ohio that they will need multiple good years to gain, such as 2018 and 2020 being back to back waves. The likeliness of that happening? Slim. It'll be tough.
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