2016 GOP primaries: first state/region to be considered "lean"
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  2016 GOP primaries: first state/region to be considered "lean"
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: In chronological order
#1
Iowa
#2
Colorado
#3
New Hampshire
#4
South Carolina
#5
Nevada
#6
Wyoming
#7
Alabama
#8
Arkansas
#9
Georgia
#10
Idaho
#11
Massachusetts
#12
Minnesota
#13
North Carolina
#14
Oklahoma
#15
Tennessee
#16
Texas
#17
Vermont
#18
Virginia
#19
Kansas
#20
Louisiana
#21
Maine
#22
Washington
#23
Hawaii
#24
Nichigan
#25
Mississippi
#26
Puerto Rico
#27
Florida
#28
Illinois
#29
Ohio
#30
Alaska
#31
Arizona
#32
Utah
#33
Missouri
#34
North Dakota
#35
Wisconsin
#36
New York
#37
Connecticut
#38
Delaware
#39
Maryland
#40
Pennsylvania
#41
Rhode Island
#42
Indiana
#43
Nebraska
#44
West Virginia
#45
Kentucky
#46
Oregon
#47
California
#48
Montana
#49
New Jersey
#50
New Mexico
#51
South Dakota
#52
D.C.
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: 2016 GOP primaries: first state/region to be considered "lean"  (Read 11112 times)
Eomer
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« on: November 27, 2015, 04:29:15 AM »
« edited: November 27, 2015, 04:47:55 AM by Eomer »

As all of you may have noticed, something unique happened in the prediction section;
none of the states' predictions for the GOP primaries in 2016 are considered "lean" by this community.



Which state do you think will turn "lean" first?
When will it happen and in whose favor?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2015, 03:03:26 PM »

Cruzowa
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Eomer
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2015, 07:48:01 AM »


Really? Most members think so, but the polls predict something different.
I predict a Carson or a Trump win there.
I think New Hampshire is the state to pick.
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ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2015, 08:32:12 PM »

At this point:

Iowa: Toss-up (between Trump and Cruz)
New Hampshire: Lean Trump
South Carolina: Likely Trump
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #4 on: December 11, 2015, 08:16:25 PM »

The Atlas predictor tends to be a trailing indicator because it'll have predictions made early and never updated.  It may well be that it will never indicate a state as lean.  There's only five now that have a majority of people picking a candidate now, and none are even near being lean.
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Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2015, 01:22:54 AM »

I am hoping Cruz wins Iowa because CO ans NV are tailor made.

Cruz Iowa
Trump NH
SC tossup
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #6 on: December 28, 2015, 09:52:05 AM »

Texas- Cruz
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2016, 11:39:10 AM »

NH is lean Trump now
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