Must-wins for each party
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Author Topic: Must-wins for each party  (Read 593 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: November 28, 2015, 12:16:41 AM »
Which competitive states (i.e. not California or Texas) are must-wins for each party?

In my opinion:

Must-wins for Democrats: Nevada (if Democrats can't win here, they're done), Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin

Must-wins for Republicans: Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio

Tipping point/bellwether states: Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire (though it tilts Democratic) and Virginia
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Potus
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« Reply #1 on: November 28, 2015, 12:23:32 AM »
An actual Republican must win the Republican primary.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: November 28, 2015, 12:29:28 AM »
In order from most needed to least needed.

Republicans: NC, FL, OH.
Democrats: MI, MN, WI, PA.

The following states are states that can be won or lost by either side (either because they're small in Electoral Votes, or because they're very close to tipping point status):

VA, NH, IA, CO, NV
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: November 28, 2015, 12:35:57 AM »
Quote from: The Prime Minister on November 28, 2015, 12:23:32 AM
An actual Republican must win the Republican primary.

I agree. noted RINO Jeb Bush, John Kasich, and Marco Rubio must be defeated so that Reagan Republican Donald Trump can lead the party to victory!
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #4 on: November 28, 2015, 10:08:51 PM »
« Edited: November 28, 2015, 10:10:25 PM by whitesox130 »
GOP: FL, NC, AZ
DEM: PA, NV, WI
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bedstuy
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« Reply #5 on: November 28, 2015, 10:26:48 PM »
Dems: PA, WI
GOP: OH, VA, FL
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #6 on: November 29, 2015, 12:02:28 AM »
Pennsylvania for the Democrats, Florida for the Republicans
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I support Sanders
Bernie2016
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« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2015, 12:04:47 AM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 28, 2015, 12:35:57 AM
Quote from: The Prime Minister on November 28, 2015, 12:23:32 AM
An actual Republican must win the Republican primary.

I agree. noted RINO Jeb Bush, John Kasich, and Marco Rubio must be defeated so that Reagan Republican Donald Trump can lead the party to victory!
Noted crazies Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Ben Carson must be defeated so that John Kasich can lead the party to victory!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: November 29, 2015, 12:08:51 AM »
GOP: FL, OH, Va
Dems: Pa, NH, CO,Iowa, NV

Tipping point Iowa & CO
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Drew
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« Reply #9 on: November 29, 2015, 12:22:00 PM »
Republicans: North Carolina
Democrats: Pennsylvania
Both: Florida and Ohio
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: November 29, 2015, 03:15:46 PM »
Without Florida, there's actaully no realistic path for the GOP to the magic 270 EVs.
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Orser67
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« Reply #11 on: November 29, 2015, 03:37:05 PM »
If Republicans lose Florida, they need a near-sweep of the remaining swing states. Losing Ohio or North Carolina would also be huge blows. Democrats have a more flexible path.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: November 29, 2015, 04:05:14 PM »
Quote from: Orser67 on November 29, 2015, 03:37:05 PM
If Republicans lose Florida, they need a near-sweep of the remaining swing states. Losing Ohio or North Carolina would also be huge blows. Democrats have a more flexible path.

The GOP needs PA if they lose FL. But I don't see Republicans winning PA while losing FL.
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