Andrew Cuomo 2018?

[President Rockefeller]

More than likely. Gibson has said he won't run which leaves Dutchess County
Exec. Marcus Molinaro,  Rob Astorino again looks like he's planning, Carl Paladino (sigh) is thinking about it again, and they say Trump may run if he loses 2016.

On the Dem side it's probably Eric Schneiderman the AG, Kathy Hochul probably won't run if Cuomo does which again he probably will. I somehow don';t see DiNapoli doing it, and if DeBlasio went for it, I couldn't even see him winning any of the boroughs against Cuomo.

Was actually hoping for a Preet Bharara 2018 run #RepublicansForPreet

[President Rockefeller]

More than likely. Gibson has said he won't run which leaves Dutchess County
Exec. Marcus Molinaro,  Rob Astorino again looks like he's planning, Carl Paladino (sigh) is thinking about it again, and they say Trump may run if he loses 2016.

On the Dem side it's probably Eric Schneiderman the AG, Kathy Hochul probably won't run if Cuomo does which again he probably will. I somehow don';t see DiNapoli doing it, and if DeBlasio went for it, I couldn't even see him winning any of the boroughs against Cuomo.

Was actually hoping for a Preet Bharara 2018 run #RepublicansForPreet

I was surprised that Gibson decided against running, it really seemed like he was going to do it. But he did get out early enough for Republicans to look for another candidate. I think Astorino will probably run again, and will likely be the GOP nominee. Paladino was a terrible candidate in 2010, but then again we are talking about the party who just nominated Trump for president so who really knows what could happen... speaking of Trump, I doubt he runs for NY Gov. I think Trump is in the presidential race not even to win, but to boost his own ego and his narcissism. Trump only cares about Trump, and wants to build his own brand and keep his name in the news. Trump would only be satisfied with running for the number one job in politics, I don't think he would have any interest in being Governor.

I am doubtful Cuomo gets a serious challenge for the nomination, even though he is unpopular. Zephyr Teachout is now running for Congress and has a legitimate shot at winning, and if she wins, I imagine she'll try to spend a few terms in Congress instead of running an underdog campaign against Cuomo. As for Eric Schneiderman, he seems like a popular politician who wouldn't want to risk his future by running and possibly losing against Cuomo. I think he definitely runs for the seat if Cuomo doesn't,  but otherwise I think he stays in as Attorney General and waits for Cuomo to retire or waits for an open Senate seat. Kathy Hochul won't run against Cuomo either considering he picked her as his Lt Gov, she could run for the seat if Cuomo retires but she will likely run for reelection as Lt. Gov with Cuomo if he runs again.

To me, DeBlasio is the wild card here. He seems ambitious, and could see the opportunity to run to Cuomo's left to try to win the primary. I think a major factor in DeBlasio's decision is his own popularity and reelection chances as NYC mayor. If his approval ratings in NYC continue to go down and he gains credible challengers for reelection, I think he could see the writing on the wall and decide not to run for reelection after all. He may have a better chance at winning statewide as Governor (in different parts of the state by appealing to progressive voters) than winning reelection as Mayor.

I sure was taken aback that Gibson wasn't running. He had Cuomo at 49%. Although he himself had 26% I'm sure that was based on low name recognition. DeBlasio is becoming immensely unpopular, not sure if he's stupid enough to run into the buzz saw that would be Andrew Cuomo's campaign machine, which, last time, also had Republican funders. Also Preet has an open investigation on BdB, so we'll see where that goes.

Teachout, has to make it to Congress first, I agree.

Schneiderman also probably waits to see


If Molinaro from Dutchess County on the GOP side is talked up enough, he probably becomes the alternative to Astorino.

The GOP will try to ignore Paladino as much as possible......I pray they are more valiant in that effort

[President Rockefeller]

President Rockefeller, do you think Lee Zeldin, Dennis Vacco or Roslynn Mauskopf could win?

Vacco seems passed the time, he hasn't held office since 1998, Zeldin probably won't go for it, he's probably Congressional for a while, and Mauskopf based on low recognition may not win for Gov, but if she wanted to would make a solid AG. AG.... there's another race in NY that isn't certain

[President Rockefeller]

President Rockefeller, do you think Lee Zeldin, Dennis Vacco or Roslynn Mauskopf could win?

Vacco seems passed the time, he hasn't held office since 1998, Zeldin probably won't go for it, he's probably Congressional for a while, and Mauskopf based on low recognition may not win for Gov, but if she wanted to would make a solid AG. AG.... there's another race in NY that isn't certain

So no. I think Vacco might run as a last go type of thing.

Yeah, Last go's are mostly reserved in NY for Congressional Races(e.g. Joe DioGuardi, Senate 2010). The GOP in NY (2010 again notwithstanding tends to be meticulous about the Top 4 positions (Gov, LG, AG, Comptroller)