Abolishing the EC would only have been likely had the GOP also been on the receiving end for once. That wasn't so unlikely in 2004, if Kerry barely won OH he would won the EC but not the PV. In your scenario there wouldn't be enough Republican support for abolishing the EC to actually do it.
Agreed.
Scenario w/ REP support:
Maybe with a Democratic Senate the recession is mostly 2005-2006, with the economy coming roaring back after many incumbents were unseated in the 2006 election for a 49-49 Senate, with Joe Lieberman and Angus King refusing to join either party. From there, Gov. Winthrop P. Rockefeller wins the Republican nomination and narrowly beats Senator Barack Obama in the PV vote. However, Obama wins the EV very narrowly. He is saved by the
Obama v. Rockefeller decision, which stops the recount in Ohio. Republicans led by Win Rockefeller form the WIN VOTE: Winning In the National Vote Ought to Terminate Election. Reform-Minded Democrat and Republicans soon sign on, with the movement purifying primaries in 2010, causing the amendment to pass 58-40 soon thereafter.
States which sign on:
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Indiana
Iowa
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
New Hampshire
New Jersey
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin