Predict the Democratic primary map for your state

[Adam Griffin]

As the title states.

I'm expecting Hillary Clinton will receive roughly 72-75% of the vote in GA, which will be rather evenly dispersed throughout much of the state geographically.

Bernie's strongest areas will be, ironically and in some cases, what were Clinton's strongest areas in 2008: in some of the whitest parts of the state in the far north, where you'll find the most Democratic rural counties in terms of the percentage of whites voting Democratic as a regional average; in the interior south-east (also strong counties for Clinton in 2008 and relatively minority-free); and in Clarke County (home to UGA), where I think he has the best chance of winning overall, but something tells me he'll fall just barely short of winning the county.

Clinton's strongest areas will be in Clayton County (almost 90% non-white at this point) and along the Black Belt. In most of the urban areas, she will receive roughly the same percentage of the vote as she will statewide, +/- 5 points depending on the municipality (above average in Augusta & Columbus; below average in Savannah and ATL proper).

[ElectionsGuy]

Clinton - 58%
Sanders - 42%

Something like this. Sanders support highest in Dane County (obvious) and university towns. Clinton I think will get a consistent 55-60% showing all throughout rural Wisconsin (but probably best in northern Wisconsin), and probably something like 65/35 Clinton in Milwaukee County.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Assuming the race is still competitive, I think Bernie wins California by a small margin. He wins most of the coastal counties, northern California, and Sierras. Hillary wins LA county and most of the central valley and inland empire.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Assuming the race is still competitive, I think Bernie wins California by a small margin. He wins most of the coastal counties, northern California, and Sierras. Hillary wins LA county and most of the central valley and inland empire.

Hillary might do better in the Bay Area due to large minority populations. But places like Santa Cruz and Mendocino/Humboldt would be quite strong for Bernie. He would do well in Alpine/Mono along with the other parts of NorCal that you mentioned.

Edit: I'll try to remember to make a map when I get home tomorrow.

[Xing]

Assuming Clinton hasn't clinched the nomination by this point, Washington is definitely a state that Sanders could win. I'm guessing he'd win something like 55/45.

[Crumpets]

Based largely on the '08 primary results. I imagine the Washington Obama coalition is basically the same as the Sanders coalition, while Clinton will pick up maybe 5 percent more (assuming Sanders is still in the running).

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Based largely on the '08 primary results. I imagine the Washington Obama coalition is basically the same as the Sanders coalition, while Clinton will pick up maybe 5 percent more (assuming Sanders is still in the running).

How do you make the county maps on atlas?

[Figueira]

Not sure about the county percentages, but this would be a win for Hillary. Hillary's best county is Bristol, and Bernie's best county is Hampshire.

[dudeabides]

Where can I create this map?

[Figueira]

I just copied the 2012 county results map on Atlas onto Microsoft Paint, and recolored each county there. Then I uploaded that map to Imgur.

There might be an easier way to do it, but I don't know.

[The Free North]

Hillary wins every county in CT with at least 60% of the vote.

[Asian Nazi]

Based largely on the '08 primary results. I imagine the Washington Obama coalition is basically the same as the Sanders coalition, while Clinton will pick up maybe 5 percent more (assuming Sanders is still in the running).

I was about to post, but this map looks great.  Good job.  

[Lief 🗽]

Clinton wins everything but Tompkins county.

[Boston Bread]

Clinton wins everything but Tompkins county.

In NY, I could see Sanders winning most of the counties that Teachout won against Cuomo.

[dudeabides]

I just copied the 2012 county results map on Atlas onto Microsoft Paint, and recolored each county there. Then I uploaded that map to Imgur.

There might be an easier way to do it, but I don't know.

Thank you!

Democratic:

Blue = Hillary Clinton
Red = Bernie Sanders


Republican:

Blue = Chris Christie
Red = Marco Rubio
Green = Donald Trump

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I'm pretty sure Hillary Clinton will win every county here in Florida

[Lief 🗽]

Clinton wins everything but Tompkins county.

In NY, I could see Sanders winning most of the counties that Teachout won against Cuomo.

Maybe. It depends on how much of a personal vote Clinton still has in upstate New York eight years after leaving the Senate. Clinton's 2008 primary performance was basically the opposite of Cuomo's 2014 performance, with Clinton running up huge margins in upstate New York but Obama keeping it close in New York City and the suburbs. Clinton will do a lot better in New York City this time around, and against Sanders a lot better in the suburbs, but he should cut into her margins in upstate.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

With the exception of a few precincts in East Nashville, I don't think TN will feel the Bern...