The US and EU switch electoral systems
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 07:11:42 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  International What-ifs (Moderator: Dereich)
  The US and EU switch electoral systems
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: The US and EU switch electoral systems  (Read 1116 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,576
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 05, 2015, 06:02:05 PM »

Let's suppose that the EU had an Electoral College winner-take-all type system and two dominant parties - one to the left of center and one to the right, and elected a President of the Union. What would their presidential election maps look like? Which nations would be safe-red or safe-blue, and which would be the swing nations?

Also suppose the US was a looser political and economic union like the EU, in which states had much stronger autonomy, and the national parliament had a strong multi-party system elected by the various states. What parties would emerge? Would the far-right be as strong in the US as it has become in Europe? What would be the party breakdown of some of the states?
Logged
Zuza
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 359
Russian Federation
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2015, 08:30:47 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2015, 08:33:13 PM by Zuza »

I think European countries are still too different from each other, with different issues being salient, so it's very hard to say how people would vote. But, probably, we can assume that Nordic countries would be the bluest (using the most common American color scheme, where blue means left-wing and red means right-wing). France and the Netherlands likely would be blue too. Eastern Europe probably would be red; currently Poland and Hungary seem to be the most right-wing in Europe, though I'm not sure if it is an established political tradition or a mere fluctuation (Poland had social democratic President only slightly more than 10 years ago). But at least on most social and cultural issues Eastern Europe tend to be more conservative.

In the USA anti-immigration far-right probably won't be as strong, but at the same time paleocons and radical Christians would be much stronger, and they would be probably part of the same far-right party as anti-immigration activists so overall far-right could be even stronger than in Europe.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,189
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2015, 02:49:28 AM »

The EU would probably draw itself on a federal vs looser Union party system, with candidates from all across the economic spectrum in both parties.
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2015, 08:03:25 PM »



Blue GOP(Center-Center right)
Red- Democrat (Center left-Center)
Yellow- Progressive (Center left-Left)
Green-American Alliance (Center Right-Right)
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 11, 2015, 11:18:40 PM »



Blue GOP(Center-Center right)
Red- Democrat (Center left-Center)
Yellow- Progressive (Center left-Left)
Green-American Alliance (Center Right-Right)

Republican: Charlie Crist/Adam Kinzinger
Democratic: Jared Polis/Cory Booker
Progressive: Howard Dean/Gavin Newsom
American Conservative: Mia Love/Bill Haslam
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 13 queries.