274: Hillary Clinton(D-NY)/Martin O'Malley(D-MD) - 47.9%
264: Marco Rubio(R-FL)/Condoleeza Rice(R-CA) - 48.2%
Trump only manages ballot access in:
Arkansas
Kentucky
West Virginia
Tennessee
Wyoming
Idaho
Utah
Louisiana
North Dakota
South Dakota
Trump manages about two percent nationally due to the low number of states and their low population. Rubio wins the economy(49-45%) and foreign policy(53%-41%) debates, but narrowly lost the social issues debate(50%-47%). He was helped by a uniting keynote speech by Jeff Flake, who rallied libertarians and moderates alike. Rubio and his introducing speaker, Justin Amash, rallied the Tea Party while Rice gave a quiet but excellent speech. The Democratic Convention went comparatively poorly, with Sanders rallying the base and Clinton rallying her supporters. Their keynote speaker, Howard Dean, caused it to become more of his solo with Sanders and Clinton trying to harmonize but instead clashing. However, as went Ohio, so went the nation.