Houston mayoral runoff held today: TURNER (D) WINS
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  Houston mayoral runoff held today: TURNER (D) WINS
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Author Topic: Houston mayoral runoff held today: TURNER (D) WINS  (Read 6770 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: December 12, 2015, 10:05:56 AM »
« edited: December 12, 2015, 11:34:03 PM by TNvolunteer »

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Houston_mayoral_election,_2015#General_election



Turner is the Democrat in this race and has been endorsed by President Obama. King is generally favored by Republicans and considers himself a fiscal conservative. There have been 2 polls released for this race, showing two different results:

A Dec. 1 poll by conservative business group Houston Realty Business Coalition has Bill King winning, 48 to 43 percent, with a margin of error of 4 percent.

Just two days earlier, opinion research firm Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates conducted a poll for the Sylvester Turner campaign. It has Turner in the lead, 47 to 40 percent – same margin of error.

The mayoral race between Bill King and Sylvester Turner is one of the closest runoff races in recent memory.

Election results can be found here.

Any last predictions?
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2015, 10:15:15 AM »

As a Houstonian, I think it will end up being around 52-48 for King. Turner's campaign has been relatively low energy, and King seems to have avoided much bad press and the like. Would love to be wrong though.
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« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2015, 12:26:21 PM »

This reeks of the Nashville election a few months ago, where polls showed moderate conservative David Fox neck-and-neck with liberal Megan Barry, but where Barry ultimately won a 10-point victory in the urban county.

So, I will say that the same happens this time.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2015, 12:43:21 PM »

Sylvester Turner: 52.5%
Bill King: 47.5%

King has huge cross-over appeal.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2015, 04:27:29 PM »

Polls are closing at 7 p.m. CST. My prediction:

Turner: 53%
King: 47%
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Simfan34
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« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2015, 04:39:52 PM »

Will King be able to annex the surrounding suburban areas to create a permanent conservative majority? Or will the city council get in the way?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2015, 04:55:05 PM »

Houston isn't a conservative place, but mayoral races are closer than they usually should be. 53/47 Turner if I had to guess.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2015, 06:02:38 PM »

Houston isn't a conservative place, but mayoral races are closer than they usually should be. 53/47 Turner if I had to guess.

Abbott and Cornyn carried Harris County fairly easily in 2014, though. Romney only lost it by 929 votes in 2012.

I'm talking about the city of Houston. Obviously Harris includes a lot of 70+ R suburbs.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2015, 08:13:08 PM »

Early vote in:

Turner  62,194  (52.8%)
King  55,631  (47.2%)

http://abc13.com/politics/elections/local/
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« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2015, 08:37:34 PM »

Wow, this is worse than Missouri when it comes to counting speed.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: December 12, 2015, 08:52:00 PM »

Wow, this is worse than Missouri when it comes to counting speed.

Yeah, this is embarrassing.

Apparently, Turner now leads King 52.02%-47.98%.

              Absentee                 Early voting    

Turner     48.42%                    53.28%    
King         51.58%                    46.72%    

http://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/news/hou-decide-2015-houston-mayoral-race/
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #11 on: December 12, 2015, 08:57:07 PM »

Wow, this is worse than Missouri when it comes to counting speed.

Yeah, this is embarrassing.

Apparently, Turner now leads King 52.02%-47.98%.

              Absentee                 Early voting    

Turner     48.42%                    53.28%    
King         51.58%                    46.72%    

http://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/news/hou-decide-2015-houston-mayoral-race/

haha "Hou decide"
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Ebsy
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« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2015, 09:00:51 PM »

An hour after polls close and 0 precincts reporting.
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« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2015, 09:12:29 PM »

Okay, finally it ticks up from 0.3% to 0.4% in:

Turner 62241
King 55667
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #14 on: December 12, 2015, 09:20:22 PM »

Other races to watch here include the council's at-large (ugh) place 1 seat, where some tea partier is hoping to capitalize on HERO and is leading his challenger by a point, and Controller -- the second most powerful position in the city
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« Reply #15 on: December 12, 2015, 09:45:06 PM »
« Edited: December 12, 2015, 09:46:42 PM by TNvolunteer »

Now it's 51-49 Turner.

        Absentee    Early    Election    Total
 
King       51.55%    46.72%    53.52%    48.98%
Turner    48.45%    53.28%    46.48%    51.02%

http://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/news/hou-decide-2015-houston-mayoral-race/
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #16 on: December 12, 2015, 10:00:29 PM »

As it goes on, an early lead for King materializes for 5%-37.5% which turns for later precincts reporting for a narrow four point victory by Turner.
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« Reply #17 on: December 12, 2015, 10:05:09 PM »

56.2% in, Turner leading by under 3,000 votes.
http://abc13.com/politics/elections/local/
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #18 on: December 12, 2015, 10:05:40 PM »


scary stuff
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: December 12, 2015, 10:06:00 PM »

Turner: 50.15%
King: 49.85%

Wow.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #20 on: December 12, 2015, 10:33:17 PM »

LOL

It looks like the candidates for City Council District H are Cisneros and Cisneroz.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: December 12, 2015, 10:43:15 PM »

King (R) has apparently taken the lead:

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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #22 on: December 12, 2015, 10:44:38 PM »

Turner 94,849  (50.48%)
King 93,031  (49.52%)
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #23 on: December 12, 2015, 10:45:24 PM »

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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #24 on: December 12, 2015, 10:46:42 PM »

King (R) has apparently taken the lead:



These are for Harris County only and exclude Fort Bend County's relatively small but very black number of returns, at least it appears based on this tweet:

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