IA-PPP: Clinton trails Cruz and Rubio, leads Bush, Fiorina and barely tops Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Iowa is a tossup state, only QU has shown Hilary trailing. Whether its Trump or Cruz, Hilary has proven in primary, that she can win in this state.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If there is one swing state where Trump could make something happen, it is Iowa. Its Democratic lean is powered by former Republican leaning voters in the Eastern portion of the state. Working class white voters who are more secular and anti-war than their counterparts in Western Iowa. They normally defaulted Republican down ballot until 2006 when Iraq destroyed the GOP amongst such voters. However, those voters have twice shifted heavily Republican when social issues were on the backburner and economy related issues were weighing on the Democrats. If Trump can flip some of those voters, the state will trend heavily towards the Republicans in 2016.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH and Va are the where the disenchantment of Webb voters are. HILARY can GOTV in college towns. Iowa is a must win state along with Colorado for Clinton and Nevada.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Usually, the sitting gov approvals pretty much show how his party will fair in election. Branstad is low.

Ohio 2006 and California 2010 should have been a little more lopsided then.

And Illinois and Ohio should have gone GOP in 2012 and Louisiana and Kansas should have gone Democratic.