26th February 2016: Iranian legislative election
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  26th February 2016: Iranian legislative election
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Author Topic: 26th February 2016: Iranian legislative election  (Read 3741 times)
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CrabCake
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« on: December 18, 2015, 06:16:29 PM »

Smiley

should be, err, intriguing

Both the Islamic Consultative Assembly and the House of Experts are up. The latter is the body which picks the Supreme Leader and Khamenei is like, really old and close to death/retirement; so a Reformist majority could be very ... interesting.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: December 18, 2015, 06:26:47 PM »

Where do the factions in this election stand relative to Rouhani's positioning?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #2 on: December 19, 2015, 11:52:40 AM »

It's hard to tell in detail beyond the obvious. Rouhani has scored a coup of an ally though, recruiting Hassan Khomeini (grandson of the late Khomeini) as a moderate for the Experts. Though theoretically he could be rejected, the Guardian Council can't really deny someone with his heritage a place. Khamenei's successor (or even if a single Supreme Leader should be appointed - recently Rafsanjani mused about the position being replaced by a council) is also really muddying the waters as well.

The ultraconservatives and their allies in the security services/judiciary/military have also been flexing their muscles, targeting concerts, journos etc. which suggests they're rattled and want to antagonise the West (which is why Obana has been relatively muted on the Iranian militaries' recent actions.

"Registration" finishes on Christmas Day, which will clarify things a bit. (like how "democratic" the GC wants the election to be - they're normally smart enough not to just blatantly veto all moderates, but there is nothing stopping them doing so if they are really desperate)
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CrabCake
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« Reply #3 on: December 26, 2015, 11:23:39 AM »

A record 12,000 candidates have been approved, of which more than 1k are women.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #4 on: December 27, 2015, 01:29:01 AM »

Let's hope that this election proves another small step forward for the Islamic Republic of Iran.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2016, 05:30:58 PM »

Guardian Council have decided to whottle down the list:

http://news.yahoo.com/rouhani-enters-iran-election-row-over-barred-candidates-100337039.html

Out of 3,000 reformists who put their names forwards, they have greenlit ... 30. There is an appeal round, so let's hope the lreformists use their leverage from the successful deal and conservatives see sense (lol, what am I talking about? much like in the west, liberals always end up being useless and conservatives never see sense)
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Hifly
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2016, 08:06:33 PM »

As a citizen I am eligible to vote but if somebody could kindly explain how I do this would be much appreciated.
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #7 on: February 27, 2016, 05:35:54 AM »

http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iran/27022016
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/feb/27/reformists-and-moderates-lead-race-in-early-election-results


I guess Saudis are not happy.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2016, 11:29:18 AM »

The results (so far) are unequivocally good news.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2016, 01:29:56 PM »

Moderates doing very well.
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #10 on: February 28, 2016, 11:29:28 AM »

Reformists will win all 30 seats in Tehran. Neither reformists, conservatives or hard-liners will win a majority in the 290-seat assembly. Reformists and some more pragmatic conservatives could team up to get a majority, however.


http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/02/28/world/middleeast/ap-ml-iran-elections.html?_r=0
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #11 on: February 28, 2016, 03:30:29 PM »

Very heartening news.
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jaichind
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« Reply #12 on: February 28, 2016, 07:11:02 PM »

Various Iran news outlets seems to indicate that hardliners swept the rural areas even though official results are not out yet for much of rural areas.  If true this should still give hardliners the upper hand in the assembly 
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #13 on: February 28, 2016, 07:15:48 PM »

Various Iran news outlets seems to indicate that hardliners swept the rural areas even though official results are not out yet for much of rural areas.  If true this should still give hardliners the upper hand in the assembly 


This morning I have seen some partial results which showed 20 mandates lead for conservatives, so in the end they might have even 50-60 (or even more) lead over reformists.
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