Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
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« on: January 03, 2016, 03:18:08 AM » |
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I agree it depends on the margin. Cruz is now expected to win IA, a small margin can be easily spun as the status quo, and Trump probably wins NH. However, a decent margin 10%+ will be seen as an under-performance by Trump, he probably doesn't react well and his supporters end up shell-shocked and probably start to fall away. The expectation now, based on polling, is that Trump will win NH easily, so even a close NH win will hurt him going into NV and especially SC.
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