Opinion of --StatesPoll.com--

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Is --StatesPoll.com-- a FF or HP? I find his TRUMP posts to be hilarious tbh.

[/]

pretty great tbh

[Goldwater]

I legitimately have no idea who this is.

[TDAS04]

Hilarious Person

[This account no longer in use.]

HP for his downright spamming about TRUMP.
FF for the exact same reason.

[Mike Thick]

I legitimately have no idea who this is.

He frequently does these posts, mostly in the 2016 board, where he talks about Trump in a general election. It's interesting, but it's (to put it mildly) skewed towards Trump. He's suggested that Trump has a 20-30% chance of winning California in a general, and that he could earn 40% of the Hispanic vote. Also, he writes Trump in CAPS lock, so it's always "TRUMP this, TRUMP that."

[Virginiá]

He's suggested that Trump has a 20-30% chance of winning California in a general

His logic more or less for everything related to Trump winning:

"TRUMP should have no problem, all he has to do is win 7% more of the white vote. he's going to make america great again, so that should be very easy"

[Mike Thick]

He's suggested that Trump has a 20-30% chance of winning California in a general

His logic more or less for everything related to Trump winning:

"TRUMP should have no problem, all he has to do is win 7% more of the white vote. he's going to make america great again, so that should be very easy"

The strange thing about all this is that I don't know if he's trolling. I think that what he does is kind of backwards: he thinks up something for TRUMP to accomplish, and then writes up some strange mathematical justification for it.

[Goldwater]

I legitimately have no idea who this is.

He frequently does these posts, mostly in the 2016 board, where he talks about Trump in a general election. It's interesting, but it's (to put it mildly) skewed towards Trump. He's suggested that Trump has a 20-30% chance of winning California in a general, and that he could earn 40% of the Hispanic vote. Also, he writes Trump in CAPS lock, so it's always "TRUMP this, TRUMP that."

Ah, that explains it.

[Higgs]

He's OC 2.0 I love him

[Mr. Smith]

HP just for being boring and an obvious sock/troll.

[Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy]

Obvious sock/troll.

[Badger]

Obvious sock/troll.

[Mike Thick]

Have any of you actually checked out statespoll.com? It's not the most amazing website I've ever seen, but it's clear the guy puts effort into it. I'm new here. Is it normal for socks or trolls to put that much effort into their trolling?

[Virginiá]

Have any of you actually checked out statespoll.com? It's not the most amazing website I've ever seen, but it's clear the guy puts effort into it. I'm new here. Is it normal for socks or trolls to put that much effort into their trolling?

I have, and I don't think he's a troll. I do think he has no idea what he is talking about, though. From the perspective of someone who has done a lot of research into past/future voting trends, his ideas are rubbish. He just sort of pulls percentages out of thin air and combines them with his bias towards Trump to create the outcomes he wants. It's like he is trying to paint an ocean with a red crayon. It's not like he is actually looking for a debate, either. He creates a thread and then goes on to ignore any data or opinions that doesn't support his silly predictions.

If he's a troll, he's putting way, way too much work into it. It would be too strange.

[Torie]

Nah, it's unfair to label someone like that, absent clear and convincing evidence. He just has some trouble as of the moment in discerning what is GIGO, and what is not, in my opinion. And that is his privilege, to be wrong. And how can you learn anything, without being wrong during the learning curve process? Heck, even I am wrong sometimes. Stuff happens. It's good when I am put back in my place when that happens. It helps keep my huge ego in check.

[bagelman]

Yea I think everyone declaring this user a sock/troll, especially an "obvious" one, are showing lack of experience with dealing with trolls.

[Virginiá]

And how can you learn anything, without being wrong during the learning curve process? Heck, even I am wrong sometimes.

Everything points to him not trying to learn, though. I assume anyone genuinely interested about being accurate would want to know why people think he is wrong.

[Mike Thick]

And how can you learn anything, without being wrong during the learning curve process? Heck, even I am wrong sometimes.

Everything points to him not trying to learn, though. I assume anyone genuinely interested about being accurate would want to know why people think he is wrong.

I don't think it's correct to say he's not trying to learn. In a debate, you state your position (no matter how strange it may be) and defend it, and that seems to be what StatesPoll has done. We don't really know what's going on in this guy's head, or whether he's trying to learn or not.

[Virginiá]

I don't think it's correct to say he's not trying to learn. In a debate, you state your position (no matter how strange it may be) and defend it, and that seems to be what StatesPoll has done. We don't really know what's going on in this guy's head, or whether he's trying to learn or not.

Fair enough. No idea what's going on in his head, but I still think he is very wrong on some of these things and vastly oversimplifies how hard it is to snatch up the portions of the electorate he proposes for his GOP win predictions (eg: "He just needs 7% more white voters in California).

[Mike Thick]

I don't think it's correct to say he's not trying to learn. In a debate, you state your position (no matter how strange it may be) and defend it, and that seems to be what StatesPoll has done. We don't really know what's going on in this guy's head, or whether he's trying to learn or not.

Fair enough. No idea what's going on in his head, but I still think he is very wrong on some of these things and vastly oversimplifies how hard it is to snatch up the portions of the electorate he proposes for his GOP win predictions (eg: "He just needs 7% more white voters in California).

"Only 743,000 more extremely inelastic voters"

Anyway, he'll probably learn if/when Trump loses California by a yawning margin.

[SATW]

HP

[Clark Kent]

Clearly a troll. HP