Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5])
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Author Topic: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5])  (Read 62361 times)
MaxQue
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« Reply #25 on: January 19, 2016, 07:14:04 PM »
« edited: January 19, 2016, 07:39:19 PM by MaxQue »

In Quebec, two more municipal by-elections to be scheduled.

Borough mayor of Montréal-Nord, after the resignation of Gilles Deguire (Équipe Denis Coderre) after being charged for sexual assault of a minor.

My very own city, Val-d'Or (district 2), due to Michael Prince resigning in late February, moving to Montreal due to a professionnal opportinuity and to get closer of his son. I suppose I should bother writing a post about my city politics since 2009 (the last time I wrote about it).
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #26 on: January 24, 2016, 01:34:39 PM »

Halifax District 6 By Election Results-Unofficial

Tony Mancini  1,475 45.1% X
Matt Spurway 1,199 36.7%
Don Smeltzer 541 16.5%%
P.D.F. Boyd III 56 1.7%


X=Elected
http://www.halifax.ca/election/results.php
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #27 on: January 24, 2016, 01:36:08 PM »
« Edited: January 24, 2016, 01:51:24 PM by 🍁 Hatman »

NDP candidates finish 1-2, good news!

Especially considering the district went heavily Liberal in the last provincial election.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #28 on: January 24, 2016, 02:15:35 PM »

Interestingly, that district has been held by Liberals recently

Recent results:

2012: future Liberal MP Darren Fisher def. NDP MLA Jerry Pye 69%-31%
2009 by-election: Darren Fisher wins
2008: future Liberal MLA Andrew Younger acclaimed
2004: Younger def. councillor Brian Warshick 52%-44%
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #29 on: January 25, 2016, 10:26:20 AM »

Pickering's Ward 1 by-election is today.

Pickering is the city immediately east of Toronto. The city has three wards, each represented by a city and a (Durham) regional councillor. Ward 1 is located in the southwest corner of the city, bordering Toronto. It normally votes Liberal provincially and federally, but went Conservative in the 2011 federal election.

The ward was represented on city and regional council by Jennifer O'Connell until she was elected to parliament (for the Liberals) in last October's federal election in the riding of Pickering-Uxbridge. She represented Ward 1 from 2006 to 2015. In the 2014 municipal election, she was easily re-elected with 72% of the vote against four other candidates.  The ward's city councillor, Kevin Ashe has taken over her spot on regional council as well, so the vacancy will be for the city council position.

Past election results:
2014: O'Connell def. Nick Tsetsakos 72% to 9% and three other candidates
2010: O'Connell def. regional councillor Bonnie Littley 55% to 45%
2006: O'Connell def. Kevin Ashe 45% to 43% for city council; Littley def. Maurice Brenner for regional council.

There are 12 candidates running, including former councillors Maurice Brenner and Peter Rodrigues

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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #30 on: January 25, 2016, 07:33:10 PM »

The whole city of Pickering has just three city councillors?
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #31 on: January 25, 2016, 07:55:52 PM »

The whole city of Pickering has just three city councillors?

No, each ward has a city and regional councillor. Each regional councillor also sits on city council, so there is a total of 6 councillors, plus the mayor.
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #32 on: January 25, 2016, 08:24:34 PM »

The whole city of Pickering has just three city councillors?

No, each ward has a city and regional councillor. Each regional councillor also sits on city council, so there is a total of 6 councillors, plus the mayor.

Oh, I didn't realize the regional councillors also sat on city council.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #33 on: January 25, 2016, 10:52:57 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2016, 10:55:58 PM by 🍁 Hatman »

Forgot about that by-election for the Toronto District School Board, filling the vacancy that was created when Liberal Shaun Chen was elected to the House of Commons for the riding of Scarborough North.

NDPer Neethan Shan won in a landslide, defeating 19 candidates:

Neethan Shan, 4197 (53.6%)
Jack Wang 1258 (16.1%)

Results: http://election.toronto.ca/epr2014/eprDetail.do?121#1453780182280

The boundaries of the district are basically the old Scarborough-Rouge River riding, where Shan has run for the NDP in the past. Turnout was 7826, which is probably around 9%.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #34 on: January 25, 2016, 11:03:45 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2016, 11:05:17 PM by 🍁 Hatman »

The race in Pickering turned out to be a bit of a clusterf**k:

Former councillor Maurice Brenner won with just 21.6% of the vote, defeating realtor Lisa Robinson by just 50 votes:

Maurice Brenner: 712 (21.6%)
Lisa Robinson: 662 (20.0%)
Chris van der Vliet: 472 (14.3%)
Gary Hugh Strange: 462 (14.0%)
Lisa McFarland: 316 (9.6%)
Peter Rodrigues: 275 (8.3%)
6 other candidates: 404 (12.2%)

Results: http://www.pickering.ca/en/cityhall/2016UnofficialWard1By-ElectionResults.asp
So now Pickering will have an all male city council.
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Njall
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« Reply #35 on: January 28, 2016, 01:20:48 PM »

The filing deadline for the Ward 12 by-election in Edmonton has passed.  There are officially 32 candidates contesting the by-election.
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DL
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« Reply #36 on: January 29, 2016, 10:16:35 AM »

Prediction: the BC NDP will win both byelections on Tuesday and neither will be particularly close
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #37 on: January 31, 2016, 09:28:15 AM »

IPolitics on the BC by-elections.
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DL
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« Reply #38 on: January 31, 2016, 06:07:43 PM »

Michael Smyth in The Province expects the NDP to win both byelections:

http://www.theprovince.com/news/michael+smyth+will+byelections+very+different+ridings/11687537/story.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
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Poirot
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« Reply #39 on: January 31, 2016, 07:25:13 PM »

Four candidates for district 6 in Granby. They all have previously been candidates for municipal election before in other districts than 6.

http://www.lapresse.ca/la-voix-de-lest/actualites/201601/29/01-4945397-election-partielle-dans-le-district-six-a-granby-aux-electeurs-de-se-prononcer.php

Victoire Marie-France Collard ran in the December by-election in the district vacated because the councillor was elected MP (the man who left district 6 is now working at the constituency office of the MP). She received 1% of the vote so she doesn't seem like the strongest candidate. She wants the city to have an intercultural festival.

Normand St-Laurent did not speak to a local newspaper when they did profiles of each candidates and was not at the advance polling location like the other three. Keeping a low profile doesn't seem like a recipe for success.

I'm guessing the winner will be one of the other two.
Denyse Tremblay is a retired nurse, I think she lost in the last general election against the man who is now MP. She was supporting the candidate who was elected mayor. She did not make promises and want to listen to people.

Bruno Junior St-Amand was a candidate in the last general election, works at the credit union and he presented projects he wants to get done.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #40 on: January 31, 2016, 09:54:51 PM »

Denyse Tremblay 329 votes (55.8%)
Bruno St-Amand 211 votes (35.8%)
Victoire Collard 36 votes (6.1%)
Normand St-Laurent 14 votes (2.4%)
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #41 on: February 01, 2016, 10:26:24 AM »

District 6 of Granby btw covers the western part of the downtown.  Map: http://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/documents/pdf/municipal/cep-2013/47017-E-F01.pdf

2013 results:
Serges Ruel: 648 (29.89%)
Alain Menard: 626 (28.87%)
Annie Premont: 515 (23.75%)
Lise Des greniers: 379 (17.48%)

The districts supports the CAQ provincially. Even in 2008 when the ADQ just barely won the riding, District 6 voted for them.

Federally, Granby is in the riding of Shefford which went Liberal in 2015. In 2011, District 6 voted NDP. Before that the district backed the BQ, even in 2000 when the riding went Liberal. In 1997, the PCs won the district and the riding as a whole.



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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #42 on: February 01, 2016, 11:14:34 AM »

Two municipal by-elections today in Ontario.

> Sault Ste. Marie, Ward 2
- Vacated when Terry Sheehan was elected to the House of Commons for the Liberals
- Sault Ste. Marie has 6 wards, each represented by two councillors. Ward 2's  lone sitting councillor is Susan Myers.
- There are 9 candidates running. One of them, Sandra Hollingsworth (a former banking strategist) has been perceived as being endorsed by Myers (causing a minor controversy). Another candidate is Jody Curran who is a past councillor for the ward and is a reporter for the Sault Star. A third candidate is John Duke, who ran in 2014, finishing third.
- Ward 2 covers the eastern half of the downtown (map: http://www.saultstemarie.ca/Cityweb/media/City-Clerk/WardBoundariesMap.pdf)
- Politically, the ward (and indeed much of eastern Sault Ste. Marie) has been a weak area for the NDP. Provincially it votes Liberal. Federally it went Tory in 2011 and maybe also in 2008.
- 2014 results:
* Terry Sheehan: 3,178 (elected)
* Susan Myers: 2,481 (elected)
* John Duke: 1,450
* Michael Selvers: 340

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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #43 on: February 01, 2016, 11:41:35 AM »

> Barrie, Ward 7
- Vacated when John Brassard was elected to the House of Commons for the Conservatives
- Barrie has 10 wards, each represented by a single councillor
- There are 13 candidates running (13 on the ballot, one dropped out).
- Candidates include former councillor Andrew Prince, Barrie Colts play by play announcer Craig Ripley, Libertarian perennial candidate Darren Roskam and perennial independent candidate Ram Faerber (ran in the federal election; received 188 votes)
- Ward 7 covers the southwest corner of the city, consisting of some brand new subdivisions, and the older community of Holly. (Map: http://www.barrie.ca/City%20Hall/election/Documents/Barrie%202014%20Ward%20Structure%20Map.pdf)
- Politically the ward normally backs the Tories. In the 2014 provincial election it appears to have gone Liberal though, as did the riding of Barrie. Federally, it has gone Tory since 2004. Before that, there wasn't very many people living in the ward (only 3 polls, two of which went Liberal in 2000).
- 2014 results:
*John Brassard: 1,779 (elected)
*Lincoln Bayda: 252
*Brandon Vieira: 208
*Andrew Barranger: 85
*Richard Crocitto: 40
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #44 on: February 02, 2016, 10:59:41 AM »

Once again, the candidate who gets the key endorsement (or in this case a perceived endorsement) wins:

Sault Ste. Marie, Ward 2:

Sandra Hollingsworth: 767 (27%) - elected
Luke Dufour: 636 (22%)
Susan Milne: 427 (15%)
Jody Curran: 382 (13%)
Les Weeks: 336 (12%)
John Duke: 148 (5%)
David Poluck: 116 (4%)
Ron Schinners: 30 (1%)
Andy Martens: 14 (<1%)

Turnout: 30%

Barrie, Ward 7

Andrew Prince: 362 (23%) - elected
Craig Ripley: 307 (19%)
Gary Harvey: 222 (14%)
Jane Dewar: 196 (12%)
Jim Hosick: 122 (8%)
Mike Montague: 109 (7%)
Doug Jure: 108 (7%)
Randy H. Starr: 107 (7%)
5 Other candidates: 74 (5%)

Turnout: 18%



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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #45 on: February 02, 2016, 09:57:18 PM »

BC By Elections February 2end  Preview
Candidates
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant
Melanie Mark-NDP
Gavin Dew- BC Liberal
Pete Fry-Green
Bonnie Boya Hu- Libertarian
Jeremy Gustafson-YPP

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
Joan Isaacs-BC Liberal
Jodie Wickens-NDP
Joe Keithley-Green
Paul Geddes-Libertarian

Vancouver-Mount Pleasant should be a Safe NDP, a wildcard might be how well Pete Fry does'; his mother is MP for Vancouver Center, and Pete Fry ran for City Council 2 years ago gaining 46,522 votes and  25.60% percent of the vote.

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain should be a tossup, this is the kind of riding the NDP will need to win if they want to form government next year. The NDP might have an advantage as governments in BC traditionally do poorly in BC by elections.


You can view results from here http://www.elections.bc.ca/



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DL
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« Reply #46 on: February 03, 2016, 12:36:24 AM »

As I predicted the BC NDP won both by elections. Vancouver Mount Pleasant was a 61-26% blow out over the highly overrated Greens and the liberal got just 10%. In Coquitlam-Burke Mount it looks like an NDP win by about a 45-39% margin. I wonder where "Lotuslander" is these days? In a padded cell bashing his head against the walls?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #47 on: February 03, 2016, 12:59:27 AM »

Vancouver-Mount Pleasant

Melanie Mark (NDP) 5353 votes (60.82%; -5.01)
Pete Fry (Green) 2325 votes (26.42%; +14.50)
Gavin Dew (Liberal) 994 votes (11.29%; -7.45)
Bonnie Boya Hu (Libertarian) 74 votes (0.84%; +0.84)
Jeremy Gustavson (Your Political Party) 55 votes (0.62%; -0.62)

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain

Jodie Wickens (NDP) 3562 votes (46.24%; +8.87)
Joan Issacs (Liberal) 2936 votes (38.11%; -11.79)
Joe Keithley (Green) 1061 votes (13.77%; +7.93)
Paul Geddes (Libertarian) 145 votes (1.88%; +0.46)
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136or142
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« Reply #48 on: February 03, 2016, 01:06:51 AM »

As I predicted the BC NDP won both by elections. Vancouver Mount Pleasant was a 61-26% blow out over the highly overrated Greens and the liberal got just 10%. In Coquitlam-Burke Mount it looks like an NDP win by about a 45-39% margin. I wonder where "Lotuslander" is these days? In a padded cell bashing his head against the walls?

He owes me $1,000.
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Lotuslander
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« Reply #49 on: February 03, 2016, 01:58:07 AM »

As I predicted the BC NDP won both by elections. Vancouver Mount Pleasant was a 61-26% blow out over the highly overrated Greens and the liberal got just 10%. In Coquitlam-Burke Mount it looks like an NDP win by about a 45-39% margin. I wonder where "Lotuslander" is these days? In a padded cell bashing his head against the walls?

Haha. As former BC political reporter Stephen Smart tweeted tonight... Lowest voter turnout in 25 years. Looks like C-BM had roughly a 20 percent turnout. Brutal. Will say it again. The BC NDP will have the lowest popular vote share in the 2017 general since 1969. (Aside from the 2001 debacle). And I was bang-on in the 2013 BC general. Wink
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