Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5])

[RogueBeaver]

Mike Ford handily won in Ward 2.

[Hatman 🍁]

Geez, how did I miss that by-election?

There were also two school board races last night (York Centre and Etobicoke North)

Results:
Ward 2, city council (top 2 candidates):
Michael Ford: 6534 (69.6%)
Jeff Canning: 1918 (20.4%)

TDSB, Etobicoke North (top 3 candidates):
Avtar Minhas: 2666 (29.7%)
John Hastings: 2047 (22.8%)
Ali Mohamed-Ali: 1216 (13.5%)

TDSB, York Centre (top 3 candidates):
Alexandra Luika: 1464 (31.7%)
Erica Shiner: 1348 (29.2%)
Nina Zaslavsky: 607 (13.2%)

[DC Al Fine]

Stephen McNeil has called a by-election in Halifax Needham for August 30th. Should be an interesting race. Safe NDP seat barely retained in 2013 by a popular MLA. The Liberals are polling high but lost a seat in the last Halifax by-election.

[RogueBeaver]

Arthabaska: Sylvie Roy has died.

[Hatman 🍁]

Summerside-Wilmot MLA Janice Sherry has resigned her seat.

[RogueBeaver]

Wynne has called Scarborough for Sept. 1.

[MaxQue]

The St-Jérôme, Marie-Victorin and Arthabaska Quebec by-elections will be held in late November or early December, according to La Presse.

St-Jérôme must be called before November 2 and the government wants the PQ to have a new leader before calling them (which is in October).

[RogueBeaver]

Niagara West-Glanbrook: Hudak resigning in 5 weeks to become CEO of the Ontario Real Estate Association. Wondered when he would leave politics.

[Poirot]

Claude Bisson will be the NDP candidate in the future Ottawa-Vanier provincial by-election. He is the brother of Gilles Bisson, MPP for Timmins-Baie James.

http://www.lapresse.ca/le-droit/politique/politique-ontarienne/201608/09/01-5008902-le-npd-choisit-claude-bisson-dans-ottawa-vanier.php?utm_categorieinterne=trafficdrivers&utm_contenuinterne=cyberpresse_B9_politique_1837445_section_POS3

[trebor204]

Some sad news Liberal MP (Ottawa - Vanier) Mauril Belanger passed away tonight after being diagnosed with ALS.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/liberal-mp-mauril-b%C3%A9langer-dies-at-61-1.3031730

[Hatman 🍁]

RIP. Ottawa-Vanier now without federal and provincial representation. When was the last time a riding was vacant federally and provincially?

[trebor204]

Two areas in Manitoba. Overlapping areas  Federally and Provincally.

Brandon Souris (Federal) was vacant - August 31/13 to Nov 25/13 - Merv Tweed resigned to take a position with OmiTrax
Arthur - Virden (Provincial) was vacant - Oct 18/13 to Jan 28/14 -  Larry Maguire resigned to run Federally in Brandon Souris.

The overlapping areas (SW Manitoba) was without representation just over 1 month.


Morris (Provincial) - vacant - Feb 12/13 to Jan 28/14 - Mavis Tailleu resigned her seat citing family and health reasons.
Provencher (Federal)- vacant July 9/13 to Nov 25/13 - Vic Toews resigned from politics.

For 4 1/2 months the overlapping areas (Morris, Niverville) was without representation.

You can say that during a Federal Election (or Provincial) there is no real representation. So if a Provincial Riding (or Federal) is vacant a riding (or area) is both vacant federally and provincially.

[Hatman 🍁]

Oh yeah, I forgot about those Manitoba by-election.

[RogueBeaver]

Verdun: Jacques Daoust leaving politics due to irreconcilable differences with Couillard.

[DL]

The latest province wide poll in Ontario has the Liberals crashing to 28% with the Pcs up at 42% and the NDP at 23% - the way the votes are distributed that could mean a PC majority and NDP as official opposition. Also if you extrapolate that trend the Liberals should be in deep danger of losing Scarborough-Rouge River!

[RogueBeaver]

Hill Times discusses the federal Ottawa-Vanier race.

[Hatman 🍁]

The latest province wide poll in Ontario has the Liberals crashing to 28% with the Pcs up at 42% and the NDP at 23% - the way the votes are distributed that could mean a PC majority and NDP as official opposition. Also if you extrapolate that trend the Liberals should be in deep danger of losing Scarborough-Rouge River!

Yes, but unfortunately it means a PC win there

[Hatman 🍁]

Hill Times discusses the federal Ottawa-Vanier race.

I was cynically thinking Meilleur was going to run for the seat.

I kind of feel bad for Mathieu Fleury who will have to wait along time for this seat (provincial or federal) to open up again so that he can run. He's still young though, so he has lots of time.

[Hatman 🍁]

Speaking of Belanger, this has been bugging me... he was well known for wanting to change the anthem to be more gender equal, yet it appears his wife took his name [assuming it was her choice, does this mean she is not as committed to gender equality as her husband - or is she cynically trying to attach herself to his legacy through his last name]?  I only bring this up, because the article points out that there is speculation that she might run in the by-election.

[DL]

The latest province wide poll in Ontario has the Liberals crashing to 28% with the Pcs up at 42% and the NDP at 23% - the way the votes are distributed that could mean a PC majority and NDP as official opposition. Also if you extrapolate that trend the Liberals should be in deep danger of losing Scarborough-Rouge River!

Yes, but unfortunately it means a PC win there

Its hard to know how things extrapolate to that riding...In 2014 the Liberals came in first with the NDP a very strong second and the PCs not far behind...but a riding that is something like 65% made up of people born outside Canada and with a huge Tamil population is very difficult to poll and may or may not follow province-wide trends. Personally, if the NDP doesnt win that one, the next best thing is for the PCs to win...nothing will change the Liberal majority, but if they lose a suburban Toronto seat to anyone, it will create major panic and unrest within Ontario Liberal ranks...whihc means i can get out the popcorn!

[RogueBeaver]

Calgary-Heritage/Midnapore: Citizen on potential candidates.

[Hatman 🍁]

The latest province wide poll in Ontario has the Liberals crashing to 28% with the Pcs up at 42% and the NDP at 23% - the way the votes are distributed that could mean a PC majority and NDP as official opposition. Also if you extrapolate that trend the Liberals should be in deep danger of losing Scarborough-Rouge River!

Yes, but unfortunately it means a PC win there

Its hard to know how things extrapolate to that riding...In 2014 the Liberals came in first with the NDP a very strong second and the PCs not far behind...but a riding that is something like 65% made up of people born outside Canada and with a huge Tamil population is very difficult to poll and may or may not follow province-wide trends. Personally, if the NDP doesnt win that one, the next best thing is for the PCs to win...nothing will change the Liberal majority, but if they lose a suburban Toronto seat to anyone, it will create major panic and unrest within Ontario Liberal ranks...whihc means i can get out the popcorn!

It will be a true test to see the popularity of Brown among immigrants.

[RogueBeaver]

Calgary Heritage: Harper expected to resign within the next week.

[Vega]

Calgary Heritage: Harper expected to resign within the next week.

I like how they try to provoke suspicion or make it seem like he's doing something unprecedented by collecting his salary or getting incredibly small benefits in the future. Why bring in some Taxpayers interest group guy?

I hate it when the media bates people over below average salaries that politicians get for there service, make it seem exorbitant, when it should be more, not less.

[RogueBeaver]

Calgary Heritage: Harper is resigning today.