Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5])

[Hatman 🍁]

For you RB:

[RogueBeaver]

Scarborough: Brown says a PC government would rewrite the sex-ed curriculum.

[Krago]

For you RB:

Are the tissues for wiping away tears or for, umm, 'other purposes'?

[136or142]

Scarborough: Brown says a PC government would rewrite the sex-ed curriculum.

Pandering to immigrant voters.  What happened to the Conservative view of 'If  they want to come here, they should adapt to our ways"

[adma]

Pandering to immigrant voters.  What happened to the Conservative view of 'If  they want to come here, they should adapt to our ways"

When it comes to the cityburban populace, it morphed into "they're the only hope for our ways", especially after the common urban perception of "whiteness" morphed from blue-collar trash to latte hipsters...

[Hatman 🍁]

Scarborough: Brown says a PC government would rewrite the sex-ed curriculum.

Pandering to immigrant voters.  What happened to the Conservative view of 'If  they want to come here, they should adapt to our ways"

What happened to it? Well, they actually want to start winning elections, so...

There's not enough die in the wool racists in Canada/Ontario for this to be a winning strategy. After all, they're mostly voting Tory anyways, so no need to pander to them. I don't event think they're doing any dog whistling.

[DC Al Fine]

Scarborough: Brown says a PC government would rewrite the sex-ed curriculum.

Pandering to immigrant voters.  What happened to the Conservative view of 'If  they want to come here, they should adapt to our ways"

What happened to it? Well, they actually want to start winning elections, so...

There's not enough die in the wool racists in Canada/Ontario for this to be a winning strategy. After all, they're mostly voting Tory anyways, so no need to pander to them.

I'd argue this does pander to the traditional socon/populist groups. Obviously the primary aim is to be a wedge to pry immigrants away from the left, but it has the happy side effect of appealing to devout  socons and nominal Christian populists as well.

I don't event think they're doing any dog whistling.

How much successful dog whistling is there these days? The media watches speeches like a hawk. It's not like only 60 year old men from Red Deer picked up on the 'old stock' comment.

[RogueBeaver]

Niagara West-Glanbrook: Dykstra is seeking the Tory nomination.

[Krago]

Doesn't Forum usually do a poll for Ontario by-elections?  Did I miss the one for Scarborough-Rouge River?

[RogueBeaver]

Doesn't Forum usually do a poll for Ontario by-elections?  Did I miss the one for Scarborough-Rouge River?

They haven't released any.

[RogueBeaver]

Brown flip-flops again on sex ed. Wonder how much this will hurt him in Scarborough.

[DL]

Brown flip-flops again on sex ed. Wonder how much this will hurt him in Scarborough.

I have a suspicion that the local PC campaign in Rouge River got over-zealous and put out a piece of literature claiming that Brown wanted to "scrap" the sex ed curriculum...and its been damage control ever since. there has to be an inside story on this.

[RogueBeaver]

That's what Brown says in the letter. Then again, this whole by-election has been strangely sleepy in the media.

[lilTommy]

That's what Brown says in the letter. Then again, this whole by-election has been strangely sleepy in the media.

Surprisingly so yes. But this is the summer and we just had the Olympics so the media tunned out. I saw two news story's on CityTv (one was about the local cable debate last week) It's probably because no matter who wins it won't really change the impact of Queens Park, the Liberals will still have a majority. Not like the KW by-election a few years back.

But, with a longtime City Councillor and a School Board Trustee running you think there will be more coverage.

[DC Al Fine]

Halifax Needham votes today.

[RogueBeaver]

Brown has reconciled with Bill Davis.

[Hatman 🍁]

Doesn't Forum usually do a poll for Ontario by-elections?  Did I miss the one for Scarborough-Rouge River?

The riding is impossible to poll properly (lots of new residents who wont be in sample, lots of immigrants who don't do polls), so maybe for the best.

[RogueBeaver]

Globe describes a nailbiter.

[Hatman 🍁]

Speaking of nailbiters, I'm predicting one in Halifax tonight: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2016/08/halifax-needham-provincial-by-election.html

[136or142]

All polls reporting

Halifax-Needham
Total Votes: 4,942
NDP, Lisa Roberts: 2,519, 50.9%
Lib: Rob Wilson: 1,662, 33.7%
P.C Andy Arsenault, 600
Green: Thomas Trappenberg 161

[Ebsy]

RIP the Great Grit Sweep of Atlantic Canada.

[136or142]

RIP the Great Grit Sweep of Atlantic Canada.

This is a provincial by-election.

[DC Al Fine]

It looks like the NDP are back, in Halifax at least.

[lilTommy]

All polls reporting

Halifax-Needham
Total Votes: 4,942
NDP, Lisa Roberts: 2,519, 50.9%
Lib: Rob Wilson: 1,662, 33.7%
P.C Andy Arsenault, 600
Green: Thomas Trappenberg 161

This is a surprisingly good result for the NDP, and they all can breath now the party is only polling about 18% province wide, and this is about a 6% increase vs 2013. More notably though about a 7% decrease for the Liberals. The NDP surprised most, as noted above, when they won the Dartmouth by-election so this bodes well for the NDP in the Capital. The new leader Gary Burrill is also going to run in Halifax Chebucto; this win (which is really just a retention) shows that the NDPs best hopes of rebuilding is in HRM.

[Hatman 🍁]

Beautiful result. Must confirm that the NDP must be dead outside Metro Halifax, though.