Two-way partisan registration by county, 2015-2016

[mds32]

We already have the first county to switch parties this year.
Monoma, Iowa switched from Democratic to a GOP majority.

[jimrtex]

We already have the first county to switch parties this year.
Monoma, Iowa switched from Democratic to a GOP majority.

It is actually Monona, but I thought it was Monomaniacs switching parties to vote for Trump in the caucuses. Incidentally, Monona, IA is close to the Wisconsin Border, while Monona County is along the Nebraska border. It is kind of odd to think of Nebraska and Wisconsin as both being neighbors.

[mds32]

Jackson County, Oklahoma has switched from Democratic to a GOP Registration majority. With an even bigger decrease in Democratic Registration statewide. Democrats decreased from: 882,686 to 832,059. Unlike Republicans where they only decreased from 886,153 to 880,130.

Switched to GOP
Monona, IA
Jackson, OK

Switched to Democratic

[mds32]

GOP picks up 3 counties in Florida. Baker, Bradford, and Columbia. The largest county is Columbia with 37700 registrants.

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Monona, IA
Jackson, OK

Switched to Democratic

[Brittain33]

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL - 78% Romney
Bradford, FL - 70% Romney
Columbia, FL - 68% Romney

[smoltchanov]

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL - 78% Romney
Bradford, FL - 70% Romney
Columbia, FL - 68% Romney

mds32 speaks about official party registration, not how the people vote. It was (and partially is) a norm in the South, when vast majority of county residents (in some cases - 80% and above) were registered as Democrats (and elected conservative Democrats for local offices), while voting above 70% Republican in presidential (and, later, Congressional) elections.

[Brittain33]

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL - 78% Romney
Bradford, FL - 70% Romney
Columbia, FL - 68% Romney

mds32 speaks about official party registration, not how the people vote. It was (and partially is) a norm in the South, when vast majority of county residents (in some cases - 80% and above) were registered as Democrats (and elected conservative Democrats for local offices), while voting above 70% Republican in presidential (and, later, Congressional) elections.

Um, yes. I was adding the voting records to highlight that point.

[smoltchanov]

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL - 78% Romney
Bradford, FL - 70% Romney
Columbia, FL - 68% Romney

mds32 speaks about official party registration, not how the people vote. It was (and partially is) a norm in the South, when vast majority of county residents (in some cases - 80% and above) were registered as Democrats (and elected conservative Democrats for local offices), while voting above 70% Republican in presidential (and, later, Congressional) elections.

Um, yes. I was adding the voting records to highlight that point.

Oh, yes, there are lots of such examples)))

[mds32]

GOP now has the registration majority in Sussex County, DE. The second largest county in the state, it is the most Republican by far and it has about 150,000 registrants in the county.

Switched to GOP
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Monona, IA
Jackson, OK

Switched to Democratic

[mds32]

Lafeytte, LA parish switches to GOP

Switched to GOP
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
Jackson, OK

Switched to Democratic

[smoltchanov]

Lafayette became Republican territory long ago. Registration finally caught up....

[mds32]

Coos County, OR has shifted to the GOP

Switched to GOP
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
Jackson, OK
Coos, OR

Switched to Democratic

[mds32]

Litchfield, CT shifts to GOP majority

[jimrtex]

Texas does not have party registration, but voters are considered to affiliate when they vote in a primary.

Based on a comparison of the 2016 primary to the 2014 primary:

Democratic to Republican

Caldwell
Calhoun
Crosby
Fisher
Jeff Davis
Kent
Kinney
Loving
Morris
Newton
Robertson
Stonewall
Upton

Republican to Democratic

Jefferson
Pecos
Terrell

There are now 222 Republican counties and 232 Democratic

[mds32]

Another Parrish in Louisiana has flipped over to the GOP side in registration.

Beauregard, LA

Switched to GOP
Litchfield, CT
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Beauregard, LA
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
Jackson, OK
Coos, OR

Switched to Democratic

[smoltchanov]

^ Again - not simply conservative, but extremely conservative parish: less then 20% Obama in 2012. Not surprising: southern whites finally bothering to register the way they vote since 1960th....

[mds32]

^ Again - not simply conservative, but extremely conservative parish: less then 20% Obama in 2012. Not surprising: southern whites finally bothering to register the way they vote since 1960th....

True, it is just that it is happening now. Beforehand it used to be 2 Parishes. Now it is grown to 5 I believe within this year.

[smoltchanov]

^ South-western Louisiana (Cajun country and nearby parishes) was one of the last relatively "loyal" to national party areas, despite being very conservative socially. But, as Karl Marx formulated, "quantitative change gradually lead to qualitative". May be this year presidential campaign played role too: Hillary is still much less popular in the South then Bill was (though more then Obama by simply being not Black), and Bernie is an "anathema" to Southern conservatives))))

[mds32]

Clinton County, PA is the latest to switch to the GOP

Switched to GOP
Litchfield, CT
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Beauregard, LA
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
Jackson, OK
Coos, OR
Clinton, PA

Switched to Democratic

[mds32]

GOP gains Pinellas and Hardee counties in Florida

Switched to GOP
Litchfield, CT
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Beauregard, LA
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Hardee, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
Jackson, OK
Pinellas
Coos, OR
Clinton, PA

Switched to Democratic

[mds32]

GOP also gains Hampshire county, WV

Switched to GOP
Litchfield, CT
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Beauregard, LA
Bradford, FL
Columbia, FL
Hardee, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
Jackson, OK
Pinellas
Coos, OR
Clinton, PA
Hampshire, WV

Switched to Democratic

[mds32]

GOP gains Grant Parish and LaSalle Parish, LA

Switched to GOP
Litchfield, CT
Sussex, DE
Baker, FL
Beauregard, LA
Bradford, FL
Clinton, PA
Columbia, FL
Coos, OR
Grant, LA
Hampshire, WV
Hardee, FL
Monona, IA
Lafayette, LA
LaSalle, LA
Jackson, OK
Pinellas, FL


Switched to Democratic

[Brittain33]

GOP gains Pinellas... in Florida

Well, that seems unsuspected. I thought this was a Republican county ages ago that has only been drifting Dem. What's the history in Pinellas?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

GOP gains Pinellas... in Florida

Well, that seems unsuspected. I thought this was a Republican county ages ago that has only been drifting Dem. What's the history in Pinellas?

It looks to me like it has pretty much been voting right on the national PV in recent times.  It's a swing county that may drift back and forth.

[smoltchanov]

GOP gains Grant Parish and LaSalle Parish, LA

LaSalle is (usually) the most Republican (and - extremely conservative to boot)  parish in Louisiana. Grant - only slightly less...