Field poll, California, Clinton 46, Sanders 35 (Dec. 16, January 3)
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  Field poll, California, Clinton 46, Sanders 35 (Dec. 16, January 3)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Field poll, California, Clinton 46, Sanders 35 (Dec. 16, January 3)  (Read 2073 times)
A Perez
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« on: January 06, 2016, 04:56:14 AM »
Likely voters. Unchanged since October
   http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article53191495.html
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2016, 05:44:18 AM »
So much for Bernie's minority problem if he's keeping it this close in a state where non Hispanic whites aren't even 40%.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2016, 05:53:55 AM »
Excellent Bernie numbers for such a Blaxicasian state.

Sanders already does as well as Obama did in CA Field polls in early 2008 ...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2016, 06:37:37 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 06, 2016, 05:53:55 AM
Excellent Bernie numbers for such a Blaxicasian state.

Sanders already does as well as Obama did in CA Field polls in early 2008 ...

You're still on with this?

But the reality is, CA is a state that Sanders should do pretty well in.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2016, 06:50:11 AM »
Not a big lead for Hillary especially with her advantage with non whites.
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Knives
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« Reply #5 on: January 06, 2016, 07:10:31 AM »
This is a horrific poll - who the  polls over such a long period?
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A Perez
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« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2016, 09:01:33 AM »
This Pollster predicted that Clinton would beat Obama by 2% she won by 10% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-259.html#polls
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #7 on: January 06, 2016, 10:01:47 AM »

That's a pretty far stretch to spin this poll for Hillary.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: January 06, 2016, 10:10:37 AM »
This should be one of Sanders' best larger states. Troubling news for him.
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Torie
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« Reply #9 on: January 06, 2016, 10:15:44 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on January 06, 2016, 10:10:37 AM
This should be one of Sanders' best larger states. Troubling news for him.

Why is that? Sanders has not shown any traction with Hispanics. Does CA have one of the higher percentages of white voters in a Dem primary outside the South? If so, you have a point. Granted, CA probably has among white voters in a Dem primary, an unusually high percentage of white gentry voters, which are his base. Odd for a Socialist, but that is the way it seems to be. Maybe they are comforted that a Pub Congress will prevent Sanders from taking their money away, in a manner that they will not like.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #10 on: January 06, 2016, 10:20:13 AM »
No movement in over 2 months, no reason for Hillary to worry.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #11 on: January 06, 2016, 10:27:58 AM »
Quote from: Torie on January 06, 2016, 10:15:44 AM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on January 06, 2016, 10:10:37 AM
This should be one of Sanders' best larger states. Troubling news for him.

Why is that? Sanders has not shown any traction with Hispanics. Does CA have one of the higher percentages of white voters in a Dem primary outside the South? If so, you have a point. Granted, CA probably has among white voters in a Dem primary, an unusually high percentage of white gentry voters, which are his base. Odd for a Socialist, but that is the way it seems to be. Maybe they are comforted that a Pub Congress will prevent Sanders from taking their money away, in a manner that they will not like.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#CADEM on the fourth page. This is the best data I could find on the race for the Democratic Primary in California.

White: 52%
African-American: 7%
Latino: 30%
Asian: 8%
Other: 3%
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #12 on: January 06, 2016, 02:07:44 PM »
Yeah Field Poll is garbage.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: January 06, 2016, 08:59:18 PM »
Good for Bernie but the race will be over long before California votes.
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jfern
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« Reply #14 on: January 06, 2016, 11:24:20 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 06, 2016, 08:59:18 PM
Good for Bernie but the race will be over long before California votes.

Unless we get another 2008. Now if Bernie does really really well, it might also be over in his favor.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #15 on: January 06, 2016, 11:58:26 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 06, 2016, 11:24:20 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 06, 2016, 08:59:18 PM
Good for Bernie but the race will be over long before California votes.

Unless we get another 2008. Now if Bernie does really really well, it might also be over in his favor.

You know it won't be don't you? I mean, there's NOTHING to suggest this would be the case... I sincerely hope you're prepared for what is likely to come in the next two months.
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jfern
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« Reply #16 on: January 07, 2016, 04:32:00 AM »
I guess the semi-open primary helps a lot.
Hillary leads 50-31 among Democrats.
Bernie leads 50-30 among Independents.

Hillary's lead is about the same in NorCal and SoCal.

She leads 41-40 among men
She leads 49-32 among women

They tie 38-38 among non Hispanic whites
Hillary leads Bernie 57-32 among minorities.

Bernie leads those under 40 57-32. Older generations like screwing the younger with Prop. 13 and so support Hillary.
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Holmes
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« Reply #17 on: January 07, 2016, 04:47:34 AM »
Younger generations also enjoy screwing the young by not even turning out to vote.
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