VA-2: Rigell retiring
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  VA-2: Rigell retiring		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: VA-2: Rigell retiring  (Read 3226 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: January 14, 2016, 02:51:38 PM »
Breaking.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: January 14, 2016, 02:53:52 PM »
Running for Governor in 2017, most likely
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2016, 02:56:24 PM »

Maybe. Under the new configuration, the district is 50-48 McCain. Obama actually carried the old district 50-49 in both 2008 and 2012. Probably takes a democratic wave to flip this.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2016, 03:00:08 PM »
It's an R+3 district.  Gonna say likely R Hold.
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2016, 03:00:14 PM »
« Edited: January 14, 2016, 03:01:59 PM by Torie »
If SCOTUS stays the new court plan, the district goes back to close to a zero PVI, and tossup status.
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windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: January 14, 2016, 03:00:24 PM »
Likely rep
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #6 on: January 14, 2016, 03:28:42 PM »
Conservative whom i respect. Almost tossup under old boundaries, Lean/Likely R - under new.
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #7 on: January 14, 2016, 03:38:40 PM »
YES! I f[inks]ing hate that skeevy car salesman! The word is that he has some health issues and was always going to do 3 terms.

I think that Suzanne Patrick may run again, but maybe not.
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #8 on: January 14, 2016, 03:43:53 PM »
Friend who is close to VAGOP, and especially Rigell, is saying Scott Taylor and Glenn Davis may run. I was thinking DeSteph but it may not be his time yet.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: January 14, 2016, 03:46:47 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 14, 2016, 03:42:30 PM
If the new boundaries stick, wouldn't Forbes just run in this seat.  Also, terrible idea for Rigell, Wittman, and Gillespie to all dogpile in for governor in the same cycle.  That would basically assure a Cuccinelli plurality win in the primary.  They need to settle on one suburban establishment candidate.

Maybe Rigell is aiming for Senate rather than Governor.
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #10 on: January 14, 2016, 04:12:07 PM »
Rigell is done, retired, not running for anything else. You can quote me on that in a year's time!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: January 14, 2016, 04:27:54 PM »
Northam probably will win in 2017, the bar will be set high for GOP then.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #12 on: January 14, 2016, 04:28:54 PM »
« Edited: January 14, 2016, 04:55:22 PM by Nyvin »
Quote from: Türkisblau on January 14, 2016, 04:12:07 PM
Rigell is done, retired, not running for anything else. You can quote me on that in a year's time!

He's only 55 years old...

I suppose it's possible Virginia Beach could've trended left recently and this district could be a surprise flip.   But realistically I'd call it lean GOP.

edit- Sabato apparently moved this to tossup, hmm.   Seems a little bold.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: January 14, 2016, 04:49:34 PM »
I suspect this is going to be a D+1.
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JMT
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« Reply #14 on: January 14, 2016, 04:50:26 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 14, 2016, 03:42:30 PM
If the new boundaries stick, wouldn't Forbes just run in this seat.  Also, terrible idea for Rigell, Wittman, and Gillespie to all dogpile in for governor in the same cycle.  That would basically assure a Cuccinelli plurality win in the primary.  They need to settle on one suburban establishment candidate.
Totally agree. If all three run, Cuccinelli probably jumps in and wins the nomination.
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Vosem
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« Reply #15 on: January 14, 2016, 05:55:27 PM »
I don't think Rigell is aiming to run for Governor, considering how crowded that field already is and that he doesn't seem to have made any motion in that direction in the past. He's either planning to run for the Senate in 2018, has stepped aside to avoid a battle with Forbes, or is stepping aside on account of his health. I don't think a gubernatorial bid is in the cards.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #16 on: January 14, 2016, 06:38:37 PM »
Quote from: Torie on January 14, 2016, 03:00:14 PM
If SCOTUS stays the new court plan, the district goes back to close to a zero PVI, and tossup status.

Lots of good news the past few years for Virginia. All these pro-Democratic trends are making me very frisky!
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Brittain33
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« Reply #17 on: January 14, 2016, 10:07:22 PM »
This district has been unexpectedly competitive in the distant past... As an open seat in 2000 I think.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #18 on: January 14, 2016, 11:12:06 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on January 14, 2016, 03:42:30 PM
If the new boundaries stick, wouldn't Forbes just run in this seat.  Also, terrible idea for Rigell, Wittman, and Gillespie to all dogpile in for governor in the same cycle.  That would basically assure a Cuccinelli plurality win in the primary.  They need to settle on one suburban establishment candidate.

Forbes could run here, but he's never represented any part of this district I believe.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #19 on: January 15, 2016, 12:33:57 AM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 14, 2016, 04:49:34 PM
I suspect this is going to be a D+1.

Not under new boundaries. Under old - may be.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #20 on: January 15, 2016, 01:17:22 PM »
PVI+3 is not some unassailable barrier to winning a seat.
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136or142
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« Reply #21 on: January 15, 2016, 02:41:51 PM »
Potential candidates per politics1

District 2:
[ Scott Rigell (R)* - Retiring in 2016. ]
Pat Cardwell (R) - Attorney
Jeff McWaters (R) - Ex-State Sen., Health Care Executive & Accountant
Chris Stolle (R) - State Del. & Physician
Scott Taylor (R) - State Del., Businessman, Iraq War Veteran & '10 Candidate
Frank Wagner (R) - State Sen., Ex-State Del., Shipyard Owner, Engineer & Navy Veteran
Paul Hirschbiel (D) - Venture Capitalist, Community Activist & '12 Nominee
Andria McClellan (D) - Businesswoman
Jody Wagner (D) - Ex-State Finance Secretary, Businesswoman, '09 Lt.Gov. Nominee & '00 US Rep. Nominee
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henster
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« Reply #22 on: January 15, 2016, 04:24:17 PM »
Would be nice to get a Dem with a military background in this district, if Scott Taylor is the nominee I don't think Dems would beat him.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #23 on: January 16, 2016, 06:38:23 PM »
Poor Ed Schrock. I forgot about what happened to him until this thread.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #24 on: January 16, 2016, 07:16:31 PM »
Imagine how much it sucks to serve in the House if relatively young majority congressmen are bolting.
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