Trump's chances of winning the nomination
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  Trump's chances of winning the nomination
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Poll
Question: Donald Trump's chances of winning the Republican nomination?
#1
0-10%
 
#2
10-20%
 
#3
20-30%
 
#4
30-40%
 
#5
40-50%
 
#6
50-60%
 
#7
60-70%
 
#8
70-80%
 
#9
80-90%
 
#10
90-100%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 87

Author Topic: Trump's chances of winning the nomination  (Read 2738 times)
Figueira
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« on: January 19, 2016, 01:25:03 AM »

What are Donald Trump's chances of winning the nomination at this point? I'd say 50-60% honestly.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2016, 01:28:34 AM »

Around 40% right now, but it goes up to 60% if he wins Iowa.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2016, 01:30:03 AM »

Voted 30%-40%, but it is probably toward the upper end of that range.

He's more likely than any other candidate at this point, from my perspective.
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Higgs
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« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2016, 02:05:24 AM »

1/3
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DS0816
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« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2016, 02:10:26 AM »

Who is winning the nomination instead of Donald Trump?

John Kasich?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2016, 02:11:51 AM »

45%
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Higgs
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« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2016, 02:13:06 AM »

Who is winning the nomination instead of Donald Trump?

John Kasich?

Cruz or Rubio
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Pyro
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« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2016, 02:17:18 AM »

40% or so. Depends on the next few weeks.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2016, 02:33:47 AM »

75%. It's his to lose.
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DS0816
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« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2016, 02:43:34 AM »

Who is winning the nomination instead of Donald Trump?

John Kasich?

Cruz or Rubio

No and no.

2016 Ted Cruz = 2012 Newt Gingrich

Marco Rubio is the establishment's preferred whore who the establishment didn't back soon enough on the timeline.

Donald Trump's chances of winning the nomination are at least 95 percent.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2016, 03:10:27 AM »

Trumpdeniers still being delusional. 
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: January 19, 2016, 03:14:33 AM »

Rubio: 45%
Trump: 40%
Cruz: 15%
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Slander and/or Libel
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« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2016, 11:28:50 AM »

60-70%.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #13 on: January 19, 2016, 11:41:16 AM »

0 with a capital Z.

He is going to get crushed in Iowa by Cruz, and then get pummeled in New Hampshire by the Establishment candidate (most likely Rubio, but Kasich, Christie, and Bush are increasingly possible).
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emailking
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« Reply #14 on: January 19, 2016, 01:14:45 PM »

I voted 70-80.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #15 on: January 19, 2016, 01:21:01 PM »

I'd say about 50% at the moment. 66% if he wins Iowa.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2016, 02:02:59 PM »

Around 70%.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #17 on: January 19, 2016, 04:32:17 PM »

Trump - 50%
Rubio - 25%
Cruz - 25%

Everyone else 0%.
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #18 on: January 19, 2016, 04:36:08 PM »

Trump, Rubio, and Cruz are 30% each, and that last 10% is divided between everyone else.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #19 on: January 19, 2016, 04:37:55 PM »

Well they just went up quite a bit, I can tell you that.

The endorsement of some annoying former governor may seem insignificant at first, but considering it might be just enough to push him over the top in Iowa and Iowa is vital in determining if Cruz has a chance against Trump at all, I'd say Palin has certainly made her mark.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #20 on: January 19, 2016, 05:05:28 PM »

I went with somewhere between 20 and 30 percemt. He has a lot of enemies within the party, and is famously undisciplined. But he is currently leading, and he did just get a big endorsement.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: January 19, 2016, 05:07:40 PM »

I think it just hit 55%. Cruz has had a really bad couple of weeks, and Palin's endorsement could seal TRUMP's victory in Iowa, thus effectively ending Cruz's campaign.
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Ljube
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« Reply #22 on: January 19, 2016, 05:08:03 PM »

What are Donald Trump's chances of winning the nomination at this point?

YUGE!
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TDAS04
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« Reply #23 on: January 19, 2016, 05:12:07 PM »

About 50%.
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Badger
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« Reply #24 on: January 19, 2016, 09:29:13 PM »

Around 40% right now, but it goes up to 60% 75% if he wins Iowa.
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