Who will win Iowa?- Less than 2 weeks to go
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  Who will win Iowa?- Less than 2 weeks to go
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Poll
Question: Your choose
#1
Donald Trump
 
#2
Ted Cruz
 
#3
Ben Carson
 
#4
Marco Rubio
 
#5
Chris Christie
 
#6
Jeb Bush
 
#7
John Kasich
 
#8
Rand Paul
 
#9
Carly Fiorina
 
#10
Mike Huckabee
 
#11
Rick Santorum
 
#12
Jim Gilmore
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 136

Author Topic: Who will win Iowa?- Less than 2 weeks to go  (Read 3607 times)
Talleyrand
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« on: January 19, 2016, 10:13:14 AM »

Cruz will win by about 10%.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2016, 10:16:01 AM »

I think the damage that TRUMP is going to do to the low energy Joe McCarthy-lookalike fraud over the next couple of weeks will propel him to victory.
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2016, 10:22:45 AM »

Trump by a larger margin than people suspect.

lol
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2016, 10:39:17 AM »

I think Ted Cruz will win Iowa, but as ESPN's Lee Corso so famously says "closer than the experts think".  I think Trump will them mop the floor with Cruz in New Hampshire and then we'll have to see what will happen in South Carolina and especially Nevada with the Latino vote.  Ultimately, I see Trump winning the nomination and defeating Hillary Clinton in the general election.  He's an unstoppable force it appears.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2016, 11:04:11 AM »

Trump, and he'll run the table.
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mencken
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« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2016, 11:24:28 AM »

Right now I would say Cruz. However, my gut says that Rubio has a last minute surge and barely beats Trump.
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JMT
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« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2016, 01:57:07 PM »

Still think Cruz wins Iowa. But by a small margin, less than 5%. Donald Trump comes in 2nd, with Rubio finishing in third.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2016, 02:02:34 PM »

The Donald will make it.
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RI
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« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2016, 02:41:31 PM »

Cruz's flavor of the month status is rapidly coming to a close. Unless Huckabee surges, Trump will win.
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RFayette
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« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2016, 02:43:19 PM »

Really hoping it'll be Cruz, but unfortunately, Trump has a good shot here.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2016, 03:06:09 PM »

Really hoping it'll be Cruz, but unfortunately, Trump has a good shot here.

On the bright side (for Republicans and conservatives), sidelining Cruz early means a better chance for the establishment to pull Rubio or maybe Kasich over the line in the later primaries and make the general Lean R.  Unless you actually think Cruz would fare better in a general than Rubio or Kasich?  IMO Cruz has Reagan potential if he managed to win a GE, but he needs a new recession to get there.  Rubio or Kasich would be favored in the GE but either could have G.W. Bush problems with the base by 2018.

However, the establishment pick hasn't done so well for the GOP the past couple of cycles.  The Republican voters did not like McCain or Romney.  Maybe a fresh face is what the GOP needs?  That said, I'm still voting for Rubio, a borderline establishment/tea party candidate.
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pho
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« Reply #11 on: January 19, 2016, 04:06:32 PM »

It's a coin toss at this point. I think Cruz is savvy enough to not blow his lead, but there is no telling how many people Trump will or wont bring into the caucus.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2016, 05:06:35 PM »

Cruz - 38%
Trump - 32%
Rubio - 12%

Single digits for rest.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #13 on: January 19, 2016, 05:43:22 PM »

Cruz 33%
Trump 30%
Rubio 22%
all Others 15%
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #14 on: January 19, 2016, 05:44:41 PM »

Trump.  You don't think he's going to see a boost after rolling Sarah out today?  Well, then you don't know conservative Republicans.  Not to mention that he's getting killed on this Canada thing. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: January 19, 2016, 05:46:48 PM »

Trump by about 6-8 points.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2016, 05:46:55 PM »

If what happened today really sticks, it's likely Trump. If not, it's a tossup that slightly leans Cruz.
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Dorko Julio
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« Reply #17 on: January 19, 2016, 07:07:12 PM »

I think Iowa is leaning towards Trump as of now. It's still close though. I sorta want Cruz to win to make things competitive at least.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #18 on: January 19, 2016, 07:13:23 PM »

I think Cruz will barely edge out Trump.
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defe07
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« Reply #19 on: January 19, 2016, 07:18:09 PM »

It will be a tight one. Smiley
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: January 19, 2016, 08:56:04 PM »

I think Branstad's denunciation of Cruz will flip more votes than Palin's endorsement of Trump.

That said, my biggest doubt for Trump is his ground game to GOTV. Until i see some firm indication his campaign has joined the grown up table in that regard, I'm doubtful of The Donald actually pulling it off.
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Obama Llama Glama
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« Reply #21 on: January 19, 2016, 09:56:37 PM »

Trump:  28%
Cruz:     22%
Rubio:   15%
Kasich:   10%
Carson: 10%
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #22 on: January 19, 2016, 09:59:48 PM »

I think Branstad's denunciation of Cruz will flip more votes than Palin's endorsement of Trump.

That said, my biggest doubt for Trump is his ground game to GOTV. Until i see some firm indication his campaign has joined the grown up table in that regard, I'm doubtful of The Donald actually pulling it off.

I think this is definitely the story that deserves more coverage right now.
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #23 on: January 19, 2016, 10:15:27 PM »

For now I'll say:

Cruz 28%
Trump 27%
Rubio 15%
Carson 8%
Bush 5%
Paul 5%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Santorum 2%
Kasich 2%
Others 1%
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GLPman
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« Reply #24 on: January 19, 2016, 10:26:21 PM »

It'll be close. For now, I'm guessing that Cruz pulls off a narrow victory over Trump.
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