Monmouth national poll: Trump 36% Cruz 17% Rubio 11% Carson 8% Bush 5%

[Mr. Morden]

Monmouth national poll conducted Jan. 15-18:

pdf link

Trump 36%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 11%
Carson 8%
Bush 5%
Kasich 3%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 3%
Paul 2%
Fiorina 1%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore 0%

[yankeesfan]

Trump -5
Cruz +3
Rubio +1
Carson -1
Bush +2
Kasich 0
Christie +1
Huckabee +1

[Mr. Morden]

Is Ted Cruz a natural born citizen?
yes 65%
no 12%
don’t know 24%

Is Donald Trump a natural born citizen?
yes 91%
no 2%
don’t know 7%

[weixiaobao]

hmm, Trump actually down. 

The GOP race is hard to predict.  Cruz is up, and yet he is still below his average pre debate of about 19-20%.

[yankeesfan]

Question for everyone:
Donald Trump has only an 11% "No opinion" favorability rating, compared to 20%+ for all other candidates.  I've seen this result in many national polls.

Does this mean that 10+% of those surveyed are only aware of Donald Trump and his positions?  If that's the case, I really think these national polls are inflating Trump's numbers.  These very low information people almost certainly won't vote.

[Broken System]

Changes from last time:


Cruz +3
Bush +2
Rubio +1
Christie +1
Huckabee +1
Santorum +1
Paul --
Kasich --
Fiorina -1
Carson -1
Trump -5

[Likely Voter]

That 1% for Santorum is the first time he has polled above 0% in a month (in live phone polls). That little 1% could be critical for Santorum getting into the next debate (if Fox has another kiddie table).