Predict IA and NH results for both sides.

[Clark Kent]

Cruz/Kasich, Clinton/Clinton

[Ronnie]

Cruz/Kasich, Clinton/Clinton

If anyone not named Trump wins in New Hampshire, I think it would be Rubio, if only because Romney and McCain may endorse him before the primary there.  On the other hand, I don't really think Kasich has anything going for him.

[Clark Kent]

Cruz/Kasich, Clinton/Clinton

If anyone not named Trump wins in New Hampshire, I think it would be Rubio, if only because Romney and McCain may endorse him before the primary there.  On the other hand, I don't really think Kasich has anything going for him.

You might be right.

[Crumpets]

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that the fringe candidates (excluding Cruz) really underperform in Iowa.

Iowa Republicans:
Cruz - 29%
Trump - 26%
Rubio - 13%
Carson - 9%
Other/Uncommitted - 23%

Iowa Democrats:
Clinton - 52%
Sanders - 41%
O'Malley - 2%
Other/Uncommitted - 5%

New Hampshire Republicans:
Trump - 27%
Rubio - 14%
Cruz - 13%
Kasich - 10%
Bush - 10%
Other/Uncommitted - 26%

New Hampshire Democrats:
Sanders - 49%
Clinton - 47%
O'Malley - 3%
Other/Uncommitted - 1%

[mencken]

Iowa predictions

• Carson collapse completes itself; most of his voters go to Cruz.
• Insignificant drop in Trump support, but ultimately Cruz's pickup of Carson and undecided voters costs Trump the state.
• Paul and Rubio both overperform the polls
• O'Malley supporters largely defect the Sanders, putting him over the top.
• Des Moines Register once again comes closest to nailing the final outcome.
• Guess as to what that may look like:
  Cruz 35%
  Trump 27%
  Rubio 14%
  Paul 7%
  Everyone Else <4%
  
  Sanders 51%
  Clinton 48%
  O'Malley 1%

New Hampshire predictions

• Clinton once again beats expectations in New Hampshire, although it is still insufficient to obtain an outright win.
• Kasich beats the polls substantially
• Cruz surges in the polls, although his ultimate primary performance falls short of his polling surge
• Trump dips a little due to his disappointing Iowa performance, Christie is main beneficiary.
• Rubio gets hype, but fails to deliver.
• Bush sinks like a lead balloon.
• Guess as to what that may look like:
  Trump 29%
  Kasich 19%
  Cruz 14%
  Rubio 12%
  Christie 12%
  Paul 8%
  Bush 5%
  
  Sanders 53%
  Clinton 45%
  

[The Other Castro]

Iowa:

Sanders - 50%
Clinton - 49%
O'Malley - 0.5%

Cruz - 28%
Trump - 23%
Rubio - 14%
Carson - 7%
Bush - 7%
Paul - 6%
Huckabee - 5%
Christie - 4%
Fiorina - 3%
Santorum - 2%
Kasich - 1%
Gilmore - 0%

New Hampshire:

Sanders - 55%
Clinton - 41%
O'Malley - 3%

Trump - 24%
Cruz - 16%
Rubio - 15%
Kasich - 13%
Christie - 12%
Bush - 11%
Paul - 8%
Gilmore - 0%