What would happen if Obama endorsed Hillary early in the primaries?
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  What would happen if Obama endorsed Hillary early in the primaries?
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Author Topic: What would happen if Obama endorsed Hillary early in the primaries?  (Read 313 times)
Simfan34
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« on: January 26, 2016, 03:26:17 AM »

I suppose there are two or three separate scenarios I'm imagining:

-Obama endorses Hillary this week, before the Iowa caucus (say, this Thursday)
-Obama endorses Hillary before the NH primary, after she's won by a fair amount in Iowa
-Obama endorses Hillary shortly after a Sanders victory in the NH primary

What would happen? How much would Obama's endorsement help Hillary, and to what extent would it hurt Sanders? Would it lead to Sanders making more pronounced and direct criticisms of Obama administration policies? Would O'Malley just instantly drop out as a result? Would it lead to a bevy of copy-cat endorsements? (From whom?)
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2016, 04:22:32 AM »

The same people on here who regarded him as the progressive messiah and Second Coming of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 2008 would throw him under the bus and call him an establishment sellout for supporting the evil neoliberal warmongering corporatist shedevil over the "true progressive fighting champion Freedom Fighter Bernie Sanders."
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2016, 04:30:32 AM »

The same people on here who regarded him as the progressive messiah and Second Coming of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 2008 would throw him under the bus and call him an establishment sellout for supporting the evil neoliberal warmongering corporatist shedevil over the "true progressive fighting champion Freedom Fighter Bernie Sanders."

lol. One of the funnier things I noticed in an article about Elizabeth Warren was that the Bernie people are ready and willing to throw her under the bus and call her a sellout establishment corporatist if she endorses Hillary. Yes, the very same people that were donning "Ready for Warren!" stickers earlier in the year until they needed to settle for Sanders as their fallback option. Funny stuff.

Anyway, I think an endorsement before Iowa would raise her odds by a decent amount. Maybe from 60% to 80% or so? Before NH would help her, but probably not enough to change the outcome. Endorsing after NH would be the best scenario for her, since it would lock down SC/NV (assuming they weren't already locked down), which will lead to Sanders getting neutered on Super Tuesday.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2016, 04:47:51 AM »

Is there any sort of historical precedent for in-office presidents to endorse candidates in the primaries? Not saying that it's out of the question that he endorses, but if no presidents in history have, it means that his chances of doing so would be far lower. Oh, and while we're on the subject: are there any polls asking how important a Obama (and Warren, but for different reasons) endorsement is to voters?
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Shadows
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« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2016, 01:28:40 PM »

If it is a very strong endorsement for Clinton & heavily worded against Sanders, it will become more difficult for Sanders to get some black votes off Clinton.

Other than that, it would not make a huge difference with Sanders' base. The black votes will become harder to come
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