Are the Iowa results already set in stone?

[Crumpets]

And if so what? I can't imagine anything really changing the results on either side at this point, unless the results are 2012-levels of close already.

[Torie]

Some people are still struggling with their final decision.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

I think Rubio has a great shot at pulling this off.

[Maxwell]

Some people are still struggling with their final decision.

I agree with this.

[weixiaobao]

Cruz can be 2nd or 3rd, Rubio can also be 2nd or 3rd.  Rand maybe 3rd or 4th or lower.  And Trump can always lose it.  So there can still be a lot of movement.

[yankeesfan]

Stupid poll.  Your thread title question is the opposite of your poll question.

[Broken System]

Stupid poll.  Your thread title question is the opposite of your poll question.

lol, I just noticed. I voted the opposite of what I wanted.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Yes, I think Rubio is gaining right now and will make it very close with Cruz and Trump on Monday.  He may even win.

[°Leprechaun]

My prediction Trump 1st Cruz 2nd Rubio 3rd Carson 4th.
Sanders beats Clinton.

The interesting thing is how close the races will be, if these are the results.
I think it might be a lot closer than people expect.

[°Leprechaun]

Stupid poll.  Your thread title question is the opposite of your poll question.

I answered the question "Could anything (realistically) happen between now and the caucuses to change the result?", but I can see how one could be confused.

I always provide a change your vote option. That should be the default.

[LLR]

But muh Rubimentum!

[RI]

But muh Rubimentum!

The media/establishment will push that narrative as hard as they can the next three days.

[IceSpear]

But muh Rubimentum!

The media/establishment will push that narrative as hard as they can the next three days months.

Fixed.

[Cory]

Stupid poll.  Your thread title question is the opposite of your poll question.

lol, I just noticed. I voted the opposite of what I wanted.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

No, remember 2012 guys..... If Rubio is having a last minute surge in Iowa, things could change. It also depends on who turns out on Monday.

[Ronnie]

Setting aside the fact that a significant number of people will decide for whom to vote on election day, I don't think so.  For the Republicans, an endorsement from a senator like Sessions for either Trump or Cruz could make a difference.

[Classic Conservative]

This will be a turnout game

[eric82oslo]

And if so what? I can't imagine anything really changing the results on either side at this point, unless the results are 2012-levels of close already.

If Trump calls Cruz more imbecile than a construction worker and more mentally incapacitated than a high school drop out, Trump would most probably drop down to single digits in Iowa within 48 hours or so.

[eric82oslo]

This will be a turnout game

True. Only between 10% and 20% of Iowan registered voters turn out to the caucuses, and because it takes such a long time and are so tedious (especially on the Democratic side), almost all of them are 60+ years and extremely well educated and usually fairly rich. Not exactly the demographic groups that Trump is aiming after.

Also, 40% of Iowa voters and more than 50% of New Hampshire voters decide on their candidate within the last week, and among those, the majority within the last 1-3 days. Not exactly boding well for Trump after he had by very far his worst campaign week since he announced his candidacy.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

And if so what? I can't imagine anything really changing the results on either side at this point, unless the results are 2012-levels of close already.

Major illness (both leading D candidates are older than is traditional), indictment (Clinton or Huckabee), terror attack (ISIS is ruthless and savvy), public faux pas or meltdown (Trump seems to often speak without thinking).

[ElectionsGuy]

Accidentally voted no. Yes to the poll question, no to the subject question. These last few days are CRITICAL, so a surge right now is the best surge a candidate can have.