IA-Gravis Marketing: Trump/Cruz close, Clinton at 53% (user search)
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  IA-Gravis Marketing: Trump/Cruz close, Clinton at 53% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Gravis Marketing: Trump/Cruz close, Clinton at 53%  (Read 1986 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 53,752


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: January 29, 2016, 06:37:30 PM »

I would remind everyone that the last Gravis poll in Iowa (conducted over a two day period from 1/11/2016-1/12/2016) showed Clinton at 57% to Sanders's 36% (O'Malley at 7%). This poll was off of the general trendline by 10.1% for Clinton and 7.6% for Sanders. It has a "C" rating at 538 and is in general awful. I would agree that Clinton is probably leading, but don't say that Gravis proves anything. It's a dumb outlier that shows almost nothing. In fact if it is off the margin it was last time (assuming the other polls are correct), Sanders would be at 49.6% beating Clinton's 42.9%.



(I took out the Gravis polls so they weren't affecting the trend.)

Never try to unskew Gravis, they're not even self-consistent. There was that crazy national poll with Webb at 12% and Chafee at 8%.
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