**DMR final poll livestream and pre-game megathread** TRUMP, CLINTON DOMINATE

[Alcon]

As wonderful as Ann Selzer is, friendly reminder that the best any pollster can do even in theory is conduct a methodologically perfect poll, that lands on a perfectly representative sample, and is still subject to the statistical Margin of Error.

[Ronnie]

Okay. Let's do this.

Trump over/under: 32.5
Cruz over/under: 24.5
Rubio over/under: 13.5
Carson over/under: 8.5
Bush over/under: 4.5
Paul over/under: 3.5
Christie over/under: 2.5

Any takers?

[Wells]

Guys, I have a sibling who has the totally real results of the poll. Its:
TRUMP over 9000%
Cruz 20%
Gilmore 19%
Rubio 15%
Swift 12%
Winfrey 7%
Carson 6%
Me 4%
You 3%
Lief 1%
jfern -100%
Bush -150%

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Okay. Let's do this.

Trump over/under: 32.5
Cruz over/under: 24.5
Rubio over/under: 13.5
Carson over/under: 8.5
Bush over/under: 4.5
Paul over/under: 3.5
Christie over/under: 2.5

Any takers?

[ElectionsGuy]

We have a 7 page thread about a single poll? Wow we sure get excited over this sh**t.

[Broken System]

Okay. Let's do this.

Trump over/under: 32.5
Cruz over/under: 24.5
Rubio over/under: 13.5
Carson over/under: 8.5
Bush over/under: 4.5
Paul over/under: 3.5
Christie over/under: 2.5

Any takers?

[RI]

Okay. Let's do this.

Trump over/under: 32.5
Cruz over/under: 24.5
Rubio over/under: 13.5
Carson over/under: 8.5
Bush over/under: 4.5
Paul over/under: 3.5
Christie over/under: 2.5

Any takers?

[Dorko Julio]

We have a 7 page thread about a single poll? Wow we sure get excited over this sh**t.

I know, I didn't want to get excited at first....but now, I'm in too deep.

Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in....

[Virginiá]

Gotta get my celebratory Chipotle lol

Better ask them for side orders of blood transfusion(s) and a dialysis session. You know, for that complimentary side of e coli they have been on fire with

[Torie]

Off topic, but will Rubio's "God" commercials go off the air after Monday night (at least through New Hampshire)? The aesthetic taste of Evangelicals, is certainly different than mine.

He's (effectively) your candidate. Must be horrible to have no one pandering to you.

This particular gay atheist eclectic iconoclast is not used to any politician pandering to me. :But Will Yandik in NY-19 comes closest!

[Wells]

Okay. Let's do this.

Trump over/under: 32.5
Cruz over/under: 24.5
Rubio over/under: 13.5
Carson over/under: 8.5
Bush over/under: 4.5
Paul over/under: 3.5
Christie over/under: 2.5

Any takers?

[/]

Are the Democratic numbers coming out too?

[Torie]

Are the Democratic numbers coming out too?

Of course.

[Mike Thick]

We have a 7 page thread about a single poll? Wow we sure get excited over this sh**t.

I know, I didn't want to get excited at first....but now, I'm in too deep.

Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in....

It's okay, Dorko. You've taken the first step by acknowledging your problem. Now, follow these, replacing "alcohol" with "Atlas".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelve-step_program#Twelve_Steps

[This account no longer in use.]

Are the Democratic numbers coming out too?

Yes, I believe so. Which brings me to my over/unders for the Democratic race!

Clinton over/under: 47.5
Sanders over/under: 44.5
O'Malley over/under: 4.5

[The Other Castro]

Nate Silver:
Crowdsourced over/under lines for tonight's DMR poll:
- Clinton 2% ahead of Bernie.
- Trump leads Cruz by 5%
- Rubio at 15%

[Torie]

As wonderful as Ann Selzer is, friendly reminder that the best any pollster can do even in theory is conduct a methodologically perfect poll, that lands on a perfectly representative sample, and is still subject to the statistical Margin of Error.

How disappointing!

[Mike Thick]

Nate Silver:
Crowdsourced over/under lines for tonight's DMR poll:
- Clinton 2% ahead of Bernie.
- Trump leads Cruz by 5%
- Rubio at 15%

Does this actually reflect what's in the poll? I'm so confused...

[/]

Nate Silver:
Crowdsourced over/under lines for tonight's DMR poll:
- Clinton 2% ahead of Bernie.
- Trump leads Cruz by 5%
- Rubio at 15%

Does this actually reflect what's in the poll? I'm so confused...

It's a prediction, but it looks pretty accurate.

[Wells]

Are the Democratic numbers coming out too?

Yes, I believe so. Which brings me to my over/unders for the Democratic race!

Clinton over/under: 47.5
Sanders over/under: 44.5
O'Malley over/under: 4.5

[RI]

Nate Silver:
Crowdsourced over/under lines for tonight's DMR poll:
- Clinton 2% ahead of Bernie.
- Trump leads Cruz by 5%
- Rubio at 15%

I wish.

[Torie]

Okay. Let's do this.

Trump over/under: 32.5
Cruz over/under: 24.5
Rubio over/under: 13.5
Carson over/under: 8.5
Bush over/under: 4.5
Paul over/under: 3.5
Christie over/under: 2.5

Any takers?

Cruz over/under: 24.5. That one strikes me as a tad iffy.

[Broken System]

Are the Democratic numbers coming out too?

Yes, I believe so. Which brings me to my over/unders for the Democratic race!

Clinton over/under: 47.5
Sanders over/under: 44.5
O'Malley over/under: 4.5

[Dorko Julio]

We have a 7 page thread about a single poll? Wow we sure get excited over this sh**t.

I know, I didn't want to get excited at first....but now, I'm in too deep.

Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in....

It's okay, Dorko. You've taken the first step by acknowledging your problem. Now, follow these, replacing "alcohol" with "Atlas".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelve-step_program#Twelve_Steps

Atlasism runs in my family, I will have to look at that page!

[Torie]

Nate Silver:
Crowdsourced over/under lines for tonight's DMR poll:
- Clinton 2% ahead of Bernie.
- Trump leads Cruz by 5%
- Rubio at 15%

Does this actually reflect what's in the poll? I'm so confused...

I assume it is some average of polls to date, so basically not much is there.