http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-01-30/bloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-democratsOnly one in three likely Democratic voters in the survey are first-time caucus-goers, who break decidedly toward Sanders. That compares with 60 percent in the final pre-caucus survey of 2008
In addition, the survey finds Clinton’s support is deeper and sturdier than Sanders’ across many areas
“Most of the ways you look at it, she’s stronger than the three-point race would suggest,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer.
Sanders does not have as broad a reach as Obama did.
In the final pre-caucus survey of 2008, Obama led in many categories, with both definite and probable caucus-goers and decided as well as persuadable voters.