Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3 (user search)
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  Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3  (Read 7055 times)
Cruzcrew
Paleocon
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Posts: 568
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« on: January 30, 2016, 07:29:36 PM »
40% first time caucusers seems kinda high for the caucuses considering the registration numbers are slit lot lower now than they were in 2012.
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Cruzcrew
Paleocon
Jr. Member
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Posts: 568
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2016, 07:40:24 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 30, 2016, 07:32:42 PM
Quote from: Paleocon on January 30, 2016, 07:29:36 PM
40% first time caucusers seems kinda high for the caucuses considering the registration numbers are slit lot lower now than they were in 2012.

What are you talking about?


The number of registered republicans is 17000 lower than in February 2012, post caucus. 612k now vs 629k 2012.
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Cruzcrew
Paleocon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 568
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 30, 2016, 07:45:02 PM »
Quote from: President Griffin on January 30, 2016, 07:42:19 PM
Quote from: Paleocon on January 30, 2016, 07:40:24 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 30, 2016, 07:32:42 PM
Quote from: Paleocon on January 30, 2016, 07:29:36 PM
40% first time caucusers seems kinda high for the caucuses considering the registration numbers are slit lot lower now than they were in 2012.

What are you talking about?


The number of registered republicans is 17000 lower than in February 2012, post caucus. 612k now vs 629k 2012.

People can flip their registration at the caucus. In reality, considering how many apathetic independent TRUMP supporters are likely to show up and do just that...it's not a terrible position number-wise to be just 17k off of 2012.
Yea that's true. I'm just wondering how many get off the couch and caucus for an hour with the snowstorm in southern Iowa taken into account.
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