Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3 (user search)
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  Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3  (Read 7067 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,067
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: January 30, 2016, 07:37:24 PM »

So they'll be a lot of unenthusiastic Republicans regardless of who is the nominee.

It matters not. TRUMP draws a lot of his support from the Democrats.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,067
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2016, 08:15:19 PM »

The thing is, Selzer picked up the upcoming huge wave for Obama. She doesn't see it for Sanders. And with 60% being so huge, absent large population growth, 60% again might not even be possible.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html
She only led 2 out of the last 5 polls in 2008.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html
She's leading 5 out of the last 7, including in the DMR that predicted her demise last time.

It's pretty interesting that the only 2 pollsters to show Hillary ahead in 08 (ARG and CNN) show Sanders ahead this time.

After the latest Weather.com poll and weather forecast, it seems Hillary will win.
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