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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
YaBB God
Posts: 4,568
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« Reply #57 on: January 31, 2016, 11:28:58 PM » |
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« Edited: January 31, 2016, 11:34:31 PM by (CT) The Free North »
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We have over 50 sets of picks in and here are the averages thus far (through 11:28 PM on 1/31). Keep in mind the RCP average has Trump +6.2 and Clinton +3.3
Atlas likes Trump +3.4 and Clinton +2.8
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This account no longer in use.
cxs018
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,282
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« Reply #65 on: February 01, 2016, 01:11:37 AM » |
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Going to trust -StatesPoll.com- on this one:
"you can see as the more radical ideology, more enthusiastic.
and enthusiastic = more likely goes to the vote than others.
especially, supporters of Sanders they are more active support and have loyalty than hillary’s support. supporters of sanders are generally more liberal than hillary for sure also.
conclusion
1. The total gap is just 6%
2. Thinking about voting rate(turnout) as ideology
3. I think Very liberal,Liberal they gonna more lean to Sanders day by day
because his political position is far much more lett than hillary.
(you know, reputation of hillary, she was kinda conservative as a democrat.
of course personaly i dont see her as a conservative politician at all. but let just focus about her image and reputation to most democrat people.)
I think the Possibility of Sander’s winning iowa getting higher with new CBS poll.
and he is winning on New Hampshire with very big gaps in same CBS poll
with 56%(sanders) : 42%(hillary). Sanders is losing to hillary on the National poll with big gaps. but if sanders win Iowa and New Hampshire in a row. it can be change.
I think, now on people should think about a possibility,
TRUMP vs SANDERS in general election."
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