Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 60140 times)
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #175 on: February 01, 2016, 08:52:00 PM »
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #176 on: February 01, 2016, 08:52:34 PM »
https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/694337352596979712

In my Iowa City precinct, it's Hillary 287, Bernie 267, O'Malley 17, undecided 20. Better than expected for Hillary. O'Malley out.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #177 on: February 01, 2016, 08:53:15 PM »
O'Malley second in Crawford county!
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Holmes
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« Reply #178 on: February 01, 2016, 08:53:33 PM »
This doesn't look like a Sanders win.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #179 on: February 01, 2016, 08:55:24 PM »

51-33-17%, apparently. Not good for Sanders Sad
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Xing
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« Reply #180 on: February 01, 2016, 08:55:40 PM »
Sanders is closing the gap in Polk, but he's gonna need to do a lot better there to win...
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #181 on: February 01, 2016, 08:56:02 PM »
It's still early, but this is looking pretty good for Hillary Clinton.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #182 on: February 01, 2016, 08:56:23 PM »


Not good for Sanders, but exactly what I predicted Tongue
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jaichind
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« Reply #183 on: February 01, 2016, 08:56:38 PM »
Current CBS estimate is Clinton 49-46
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YPestis25
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« Reply #184 on: February 01, 2016, 08:57:18 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on February 01, 2016, 08:56:38 PM
Current CBS estimate is Clinton 49-46

Is that the new entrance poll revision?
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Simfan34
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« Reply #185 on: February 01, 2016, 08:57:24 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 01, 2016, 08:50:28 PM
CBS has changed its prediction from "Likely Sanders" to just "Likely"

Likely what? CBS does not actually seem to be making predictions.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #186 on: February 01, 2016, 08:57:44 PM »
According to DKE Clinton is doing MUCH better in eastern Iowa where she was swamped back in 2008.
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jaichind
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« Reply #187 on: February 01, 2016, 08:58:46 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 01, 2016, 08:57:44 PM
According to DKE Clinton is doing MUCH better in eastern Iowa where she was swamped back in 2008.

Sure, but she came in third in 2008.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #188 on: February 01, 2016, 08:58:51 PM »
Looking good for Hillary Clinton!  Smiley
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jaichind
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« Reply #189 on: February 01, 2016, 08:59:27 PM »
Quote from: YPestis25 on February 01, 2016, 08:57:18 PM
Quote from: jaichind on February 01, 2016, 08:56:38 PM
Current CBS estimate is Clinton 49-46

Is that the new entrance poll revision?

I think it is their estimate based on entrance poll plus real results.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #190 on: February 01, 2016, 08:59:37 PM »
Quote from: d32123 on February 01, 2016, 08:58:51 PM
Looking good for Hillary Clinton!  Smiley
Yeeeeeeeee
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #191 on: February 01, 2016, 09:00:08 PM »
Quote from: Simfan34 on February 01, 2016, 08:57:24 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 01, 2016, 08:50:28 PM
CBS has changed its prediction from "Likely Sanders" to just "Likely"

Likely what? CBS does not actually seem to be making predictions.

It was just the word "Likely" earlier, but now it's "Likely Clinton."
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Hydera
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« Reply #192 on: February 01, 2016, 09:01:16 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 01, 2016, 08:57:44 PM
According to DKE Clinton is doing MUCH better in eastern Iowa where she was swamped back in 2008.


Western Iowa abandoned her but she gains elsewhere.  This is starting to turn into a Urban vs Suburban/Rural pattern.

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jaichind
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« Reply #193 on: February 01, 2016, 09:01:56 PM »
Current CBS estimate is Clinton 49-47.  Clinton does not seem to be able to shake off Sanders. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #194 on: February 01, 2016, 09:02:09 PM »
Poll got wayyyyyyyyy closer. Hmm.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #195 on: February 01, 2016, 09:02:25 PM »
Sanders on CNN does not give off the vibe of someone who thinks he is winning
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Reginald
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« Reply #196 on: February 01, 2016, 09:03:17 PM »
Microsoft site is showing Clinton having dropped over half a percentage point in the last ~20 minutes. Seems to be tightening?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #197 on: February 01, 2016, 09:03:38 PM »
Well that's too bad. For a while I did believe we had a chance. Still amazing we got thus far.

Congrats on the Democratic nominee.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #198 on: February 01, 2016, 09:03:46 PM »

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darthebearnc
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« Reply #199 on: February 01, 2016, 09:03:48 PM »
Clinton ahead 51-49 in Polk...

ugh
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