Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 60219 times)
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #250 on: February 01, 2016, 09:24:45 PM »
In terms of counties fully reporting thus far, here's what we have. Not much to look at yet. Tongue
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« Reply #251 on: February 01, 2016, 09:25:01 PM »
ABC claims that they're changing their initial characterization from "Clinton narrowly leading" to "too close to call."
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RJEvans
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« Reply #252 on: February 01, 2016, 09:25:47 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on February 01, 2016, 09:22:36 PM
Yep, I think a lot of people jumped the gun here. A 3% lead (which is declining) with less than half the vote in is far from conclusive.

Agreed, this thing could flip any minute. Clinton supporters should not celebrate and Sanders supporters should not call defeat just yet.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #253 on: February 01, 2016, 09:26:12 PM »
Quote from: youngconservative on February 01, 2016, 09:23:43 PM
Quote from: xingkerui on February 01, 2016, 09:22:36 PM
Yep, I think a lot of people jumped the gun here. A 3% lead (which is declining) with less than half the vote in is far from conclusive.

On PredictIt, the IA Hillary No shares crashed down to $0.05, and have now staggered back up to $0.21.
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Figueira
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« Reply #254 on: February 01, 2016, 09:29:55 PM »
Quote from: Wolverine22 on February 01, 2016, 09:10:38 PM
Sanders supporters now look to New Hampshire, which based on tonight's results, might be closer than the polls are showing.

Why? Clinton seems to be barely winning Iowa, which is exactly what the polls predicted.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #255 on: February 01, 2016, 09:29:55 PM »
54% in so far; 51-48 Clinton
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #256 on: February 01, 2016, 09:34:40 PM »
https://twitter.com/GlennThrush/status/694346524562628608
Glenn Thrush from Politico says both camps expect Clinton to win with 50%+.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/694347560853438464
This guy says Clinton's lead small but durable because no blowout Bernie areas left.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #257 on: February 01, 2016, 09:35:22 PM »
BREAKING: SANDERS RISES TO 49% AGAINST CLINTON'S 51%

There's still hope! Cheesy
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Reginald
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« Reply #258 on: February 01, 2016, 09:35:22 PM »
Lots of Des Moines precincts left to report.

Clinton also falling below 51%.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #259 on: February 01, 2016, 09:38:24 PM »
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jfern
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« Reply #260 on: February 01, 2016, 09:39:14 PM »
Bernie has a better chance than Trump at winning Iowa at this point.
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ag
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« Reply #261 on: February 01, 2016, 09:41:30 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 01, 2016, 09:35:22 PM
BREAKING: SANDERS RISES TO 49% AGAINST CLINTON'S 51%

There's still hope! Cheesy

The delegate equivalent margin stubbornly stays at 16.
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cinyc
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« Reply #262 on: February 01, 2016, 09:42:50 PM »
FYI, clicking on a county on the Microsoft map will give you precinct-level results there.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #263 on: February 01, 2016, 09:43:13 PM »
I bet Bernie pulls this out. I mean...when one candidate can win a precinct with 100s of people 55-45, and each candidate gets 4 delegates, this race gets a lot closer than it really is.
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ag
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« Reply #264 on: February 01, 2016, 09:44:20 PM »
The delegate equivalent margin is pretty much constant. It is 18 now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #265 on: February 01, 2016, 09:50:20 PM »
Is the forum crashing again?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #266 on: February 01, 2016, 09:50:44 PM »

yepp
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Holmes
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« Reply #267 on: February 01, 2016, 09:51:07 PM »
Quote from: ag on February 01, 2016, 09:44:20 PM
The delegate equivalent margin is pretty much constant. It is 18 now.

Yeah, it's been an 18 +/-2 delegate difference all night. Polk slowly coming in. Johnson, Iowa and Story pulling through for Sanders... dunno if it'll be enough.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #268 on: February 01, 2016, 09:51:40 PM »

Yeah...sorry for the multiple posts. This page loading is really screwing me over.
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Pyro
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« Reply #269 on: February 01, 2016, 09:56:25 PM »
This race is way too close.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #270 on: February 01, 2016, 09:57:05 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on February 01, 2016, 09:51:07 PM
Quote from: ag on February 01, 2016, 09:44:20 PM
The delegate equivalent margin is pretty much constant. It is 18 now.

Yeah, it's been an 18 +/-2 delegate difference all night. Polk slowly coming in. Johnson, Iowa and Story pulling through for Sanders... dunno if it'll be enough.

The number-crunchers on twitter say that Sanders' wins at Johnson and Story are underwhelming.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #271 on: February 01, 2016, 09:57:18 PM »
I think CNN accidentally switched #s for the Dems and Reps; it says 63% of the Dem vote is in and 75% of the GOP vote is in but that clearly isn't the case.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #272 on: February 01, 2016, 09:57:58 PM »
O'Malley is suspending it looks like.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #273 on: February 01, 2016, 09:58:02 PM »
O'MALLEY OUT
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #274 on: February 01, 2016, 09:58:05 PM »
BREAKING: O'Malley dropping out, via CNN live TV
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