Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 60188 times)
The Free North
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« Reply #375 on: February 01, 2016, 10:41:55 PM »
Quote from: HillOfANight on February 01, 2016, 10:41:13 PM
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/694364051283927041

@SteveKornacki
Very rough math: 104 of the 233 outstanding precincts are in counties Sanders is leading. 129 are in Clinton counties.

Its a Polk county problem for Sanders.
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cxs018
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« Reply #376 on: February 01, 2016, 10:42:01 PM »
Quote from: ♥♦ 3peat 2016 ♣♠ on February 01, 2016, 10:40:45 PM
Quote from: Castro on February 01, 2016, 10:39:24 PM
Quote from: ♥♦ 3peat 2016 ♣♠ on February 01, 2016, 10:38:21 PM
Bernie has no chance of becoming the democratic nominee regardless of Iowa and N.H. Hillary is gonna tear Bernie up on Super Tuesday as well as 2 weeks later.

Look who's panicking now Wink

I've been saying for months that regardless of the outcome in Iowa and N.H. that Hillary would still be the nominee.

This is completely correct. Hillary is our INEVITABLE nominee, my friend!
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #377 on: February 01, 2016, 10:42:14 PM »
Sanders is down ever so slightly, but Clinton is still at a flat 50% with 596/1192 with 14% left to report.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #378 on: February 01, 2016, 10:43:04 PM »
Do we know where the precincts in Polk County are?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #379 on: February 01, 2016, 10:43:22 PM »
Back down to a seven-delegate difference
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #380 on: February 01, 2016, 10:43:24 PM »
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/694365201366253569
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The Free North
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« Reply #381 on: February 01, 2016, 10:43:37 PM »
O'Malley, the kingmaker.
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Reginald
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« Reply #382 on: February 01, 2016, 10:43:40 PM »
Quote from: YPestis25 on February 01, 2016, 10:43:04 PM
Do we know where the precincts in Polk County are?

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/county/19153
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #383 on: February 01, 2016, 10:44:24 PM »
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The Free North
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« Reply #384 on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:10 PM »
Down to 0.4 here...this is crazy.
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shua
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« Reply #385 on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:36 PM »
Quote from: ag on February 01, 2016, 10:32:16 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 01, 2016, 10:29:50 PM
Quote from: Castro on February 01, 2016, 10:28:50 PM
AP says Sanders is leading in Delegates (actual delegates) 19-18. Clinton still leads in precinct level delegates 568-557.

Yum!

But how?

From what I understand none of the actual delegates are assigned today. It is some sort of delegate equivalents, all indireclty computed. Given how close it comes out, the idea of reporting not the vote but some sort of notional vote instead is looking increasingly not smart.

Precinct delegates are assigned tonight at the precinct caucuses.  The state level delegates are not.
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Wells
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« Reply #386 on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:50 PM »
OMG Bernie only six delegates behind Clinton.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #387 on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:51 PM »
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The Free North
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« Reply #388 on: February 01, 2016, 10:46:33 PM »
Looks like a lot in downtown Des Moines left out.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #389 on: February 01, 2016, 10:47:02 PM »
Only six delegates down!

620-614
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #390 on: February 01, 2016, 10:47:43 PM »
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-presidential-election-2016/

Also, sidenote, Republican turnout over 180,000!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #391 on: February 01, 2016, 10:48:32 PM »

And Trump still lost. What the hell? The polls were trash.
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The Free North
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« Reply #392 on: February 01, 2016, 10:48:48 PM »
Still some vote out near Ames as well.
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #393 on: February 01, 2016, 10:49:26 PM »
0.2 now...
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #394 on: February 01, 2016, 10:49:34 PM »
Update: with 11% left to report, Clinton's lead is down to less than half a percent (0.483%)!
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #395 on: February 01, 2016, 10:49:45 PM »
CNN now updates percentages to 50-50 exactly with 90% in
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #396 on: February 01, 2016, 10:50:17 PM »
It's happening...
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The Free North
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« Reply #397 on: February 01, 2016, 10:50:36 PM »
I don't think the precincts in Story County favor Clinton. A lot in the downtown regions still left.
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ag
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« Reply #398 on: February 01, 2016, 10:50:38 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 01, 2016, 10:49:45 PM
CNN now updates percentages to 50-50 exactly with 90% in

3 delegates gap!
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #399 on: February 01, 2016, 10:50:43 PM »
Three! With 90% in.
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