Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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  Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 60171 times)
cinyc
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« Reply #700 on: February 02, 2016, 01:16:08 AM »

Are there exact precinct results available anywhere?  Or will there be?

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

Click on a county to get a precinct-level result map of that county.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #701 on: February 02, 2016, 01:16:29 AM »

693-691

4 Sanders counties & 10 Clinton counties still open.

20 total open precincts
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jfern
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« Reply #702 on: February 02, 2016, 01:16:37 AM »

LOL, they're just asking for accusations of stealing elections.
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Broken System
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« Reply #703 on: February 02, 2016, 01:16:51 AM »

19 precincts left
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #704 on: February 02, 2016, 01:17:08 AM »

Sanders won a greater share of under 30 voters (84%) than Obama did in 2008 (81%), but under 30 voters made up a smaller share of voters this time compared to 2008.

In 2008, under 30 and over 65 were equal shares (23%). In 2016, under 30s were 18%; over 65s were 28%.

If 18-30 and 65+ had both been 23% of the voters each (like they were in 2008), according to entrance polls, Sanders would have won by 6 points (52.5-46.7%).
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Volrath50
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« Reply #705 on: February 02, 2016, 01:18:15 AM »

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darthebearnc
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« Reply #706 on: February 02, 2016, 01:18:52 AM »

17 left; still 693-691

9 Clinton counties 4 Sanders counties open
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cxs018
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« Reply #707 on: February 02, 2016, 01:19:29 AM »

This caucus was certainly shady. But it wasn't Clinton's results that were shady. The shadiest results of all were none other than the 74 year old communist misogynist, Bernie Sanders. There is no way that 49% of the Democratic Party would intentionally vote against a woman, and our 45th president, for that matter.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #708 on: February 02, 2016, 01:20:22 AM »

16 left

ugh
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #709 on: February 02, 2016, 01:20:35 AM »

Sanders won a greater share of under 30 voters (84%) than Obama did in 2008 (81%)

Okay, I'm not gonna lie, that's pretty f**king impressive.  
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #710 on: February 02, 2016, 01:21:18 AM »

This caucus was certainly shady. But it wasn't Clinton's results that were shady. The shadiest results of all were none other than the 74 year old communist misogynist, Bernie Sanders. There is no way that 49% of the Democratic Party would intentionally vote against a woman, and our 45th president, for that matter.

Iowa is the third most demographically friendly state to Sanders, only N.H. and Vermont surpass it. Not to mention caucuses always favor the most liberal candidate. Hillary will win the party nomination by a mile.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #711 on: February 02, 2016, 01:21:20 AM »

45 precincts left; Clinton maintains three-delegate lead (683-680)

I feel like I'm talking to myself at this point. Is anyone else still up?

Yep. (West Coaster)
Yes (EUROPEAN)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #712 on: February 02, 2016, 01:21:23 AM »

What happens if it's a tie? A coin flip? lol
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Volrath50
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« Reply #713 on: February 02, 2016, 01:22:39 AM »

What happens if it's a tie? A coin flip? lol

Didn't Hillary already win like 3 delegates by coin flip or something?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #714 on: February 02, 2016, 01:23:34 AM »

I loved Bernie's speech. It's amazing but in some weird way I've really come to like him.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #715 on: February 02, 2016, 01:23:42 AM »

A Clinton county just finished up and gave one delegate to each; still a two-delegate margin
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Crumpets
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« Reply #716 on: February 02, 2016, 01:23:57 AM »

What happens if it's a tie? A coin flip? lol

Didn't Hillary already win like 3 delegates by coin flip or something?

According to 538, that's not really what happened, but then again, it's 538...
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Erc
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« Reply #717 on: February 02, 2016, 01:23:57 AM »

Are there exact precinct results available anywhere?  Or will there be?

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

Click on a county to get a precinct-level result map of that county.

It's just a percentage in each precinct.  This isn't the most useful, though I may be able to reverse engineer some results with some effort.
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Pyro
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« Reply #718 on: February 02, 2016, 01:24:05 AM »

What happens if it's a tie? A coin flip? lol

Nothing, I think. They'd both get the same amount of delegates out of Iowa.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #719 on: February 02, 2016, 01:24:30 AM »

8 Clinton counties 4 Sanders Counties

694-692

13 precincts left
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #720 on: February 02, 2016, 01:25:25 AM »

Two counties just ended in a tie. Buena Vista and Henry. Both were Clinton before.
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cinyc
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« Reply #721 on: February 02, 2016, 01:26:42 AM »

Are there exact precinct results available anywhere?  Or will there be?

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

Click on a county to get a precinct-level result map of that county.

It's just a percentage in each precinct.  This isn't the most useful, though I may be able to reverse engineer some results with some effort.

Yeah, the Microsoft site doesn't even list the number of delegate equivalents per precinct, just percentage.  Maybe you can contact Microsoft to see if they have anything different that is downloadable.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #722 on: February 02, 2016, 01:26:54 AM »

If it's an exact tie...
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #723 on: February 02, 2016, 01:27:17 AM »

Two counties just ended in a tie. Buena Vista and Henry. Both were Clinton before.

Good, good. No new delegates, though.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #724 on: February 02, 2016, 01:27:32 AM »


I wouldn't be surprised at all.
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