Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 61054 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: February 01, 2016, 11:57:36 AM »

Oh boy. If this is an indication of how salty people will be tonight, then it should be a good night.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2016, 08:53:33 PM »

This doesn't look like a Sanders win.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2016, 09:16:51 PM »

Looks like Selzer might have predicted the margin correctly.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2016, 09:51:07 PM »

The delegate equivalent margin is pretty much constant. It is 18 now.

Yeah, it's been an 18 +/-2 delegate difference all night. Polk slowly coming in. Johnson, Iowa and Story pulling through for Sanders... dunno if it'll be enough.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2016, 10:54:16 PM »

Once again, this is going to come down to Polk county and I would be surprised if Clinton has the edge there.

Johnson just shot up to 98% while Polk and some surrounding counties lag behind. Story is still lagging behind a bit too, though.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2016, 11:08:00 PM »

It's gonna come down to Polk.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2016, 12:10:05 AM »

There's more precincts outstanding in Clinton counties than Sanders counties. Clinton probably squeaks by.

Thank you Bernie for mentioning Climate Change. The only candidate to do so tonight.

Clinton did.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #7 on: February 02, 2016, 01:08:36 AM »

Yeah, DWS should go. smh
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #8 on: February 02, 2016, 01:48:57 AM »

One of Sanders' delegates just disappeared...

Probably from the precinct being disputed.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2016, 04:01:10 AM »

Sanders can't even win a state that's 95% white. It probably ended tonight but Sanders' money and win in New Hampshire will probably drag it until the middle of March.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #10 on: February 02, 2016, 04:18:13 AM »

Sanders can't even win a state that's 95% white. It probably ended tonight but Sanders' money and win in New Hampshire will probably drag it until the middle of March.

Yeah, along with the "HILLARY IN DANGER!" narrative. But honestly, that's probably how it was going to go regardless. The only way Sanders was going to drop out early would be if he lost NH, and that almost certainly wouldn't have happened even if Hillary won IA in a blowout.

You're probably right. And it does help Democrats get a head start in organizing for the general in more states than just Iowa and New Hampshire, just like in 08.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #11 on: February 02, 2016, 11:44:12 AM »

wtf at saying Clinton won't win the youth vote in the general because they backed Sanders here.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #12 on: February 02, 2016, 12:01:15 PM »

wtf at saying Clinton won't win the youth vote in the general because they backed Sanders here.

20% of Sander supporters have already said that they won't vote for Clinton as per polls so far.

And Sanders also has a strong independent backing who will never support a phony, corrupt candidate like Clinton. Clinton does very poorly among independents, has very low favorability among the general & is considered dishonest by the youth

They won't vote. You will go back to seeing 80% of the youth not voting in the elections & a section of the  independents not voting or voting GOP. Hillary is not electable in a general

In other words, young white people are cry babies and want to have their cake and eat it too? It is known.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #13 on: February 02, 2016, 03:15:23 PM »

LULAC had been trying to get 10,000 latinos to the caucus last night and they say they reached that goal. Sorry for Buzzfeed.

http://www.buzzfeed.com/adriancarrasquillo/the-effort-to-turn-out-latino-voters-in-iowa-worked?utm_term=.ikQVKWo3Jg#.aoLpP1RMk8
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