Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 60260 times)
Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« on: February 01, 2016, 08:22:14 PM »


Entrance polls are extremely flaky, especially the early ones. Don't read too much into this.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2016, 09:26:12 PM »

Yep, I think a lot of people jumped the gun here. A 3% lead (which is declining) with less than half the vote in is far from conclusive.

On PredictIt, the IA Hillary No shares crashed down to $0.05, and have now staggered back up to $0.21.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2016, 10:17:39 PM »

Hillary's lead is down to 12.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2016, 10:50:43 PM »

Three! With 90% in.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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*****
Posts: 19,469


« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2016, 11:22:17 PM »

Looks like Clinton is gonna pull this out

Yep. By the skin of her teeth.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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Posts: 19,469


« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2016, 11:55:24 PM »

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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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*****
Posts: 19,469


« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2016, 12:38:10 AM »

Hillary should write O'Malley a thank-you check. I'm pretty sure that without him getting 8 votes, she'd lose (assuming she doesn't lose anyway).
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