Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 33788 times)
cinyc
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« Reply #125 on: February 01, 2016, 08:11:38 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 01, 2016, 08:09:33 PM
My math on the GOP entrance poll:

Trump ~29%
Cruz ~22%
Rubio ~19%
Fiorina ~4%
Huckabee ~3.5%
Bush ~3%
Christie ~3%
Paul ~3%
Kasich ~1.5%
Santorum ~1.5%


That only adds to 89.5.  Who gets the other 10% or so?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #126 on: February 01, 2016, 08:12:07 PM »
Quote from: PaperKooper on February 01, 2016, 08:10:59 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 01, 2016, 08:09:33 PM
My math on the GOP entrance poll:

Trump ~29%
Cruz ~22%
Rubio ~19%
Fiorina ~4%
Huckabee ~3.5%
Bush ~3%
Christie ~3%
Paul ~3%
Kasich ~1.5%
Santorum ~1.5%


Carson?

Sorry, I forgot Carson:

Trump ~29%
Cruz ~22%
Rubio ~19%
Carson ~9.5%
Fiorina ~4%
Huckabee ~3.5%
Bush ~3%
Christie ~3%
Paul ~3%
Kasich ~1.5%
Santorum ~1.5%
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #127 on: February 01, 2016, 08:12:38 PM »
2012 GOP caucus results and entrance poll for comparison

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/iowa
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #128 on: February 01, 2016, 08:13:07 PM »
If evangelicals are splitting evenly, Cruz may as well get ready to drop out.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #129 on: February 01, 2016, 08:13:36 PM »
Paul behind Bush, Fiorina, and Christie? And I thought he could actually get fifth...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #130 on: February 01, 2016, 08:13:47 PM »

But that's the final entrance poll.  The initial wave entrance poll had Paul and Romney roughly tied, and Santorum about 6 points behind.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #131 on: February 01, 2016, 08:14:10 PM »
Fiorina and Trump at the same caucus site LOL
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Beezer
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« Reply #132 on: February 01, 2016, 08:15:33 PM »
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #133 on: February 01, 2016, 08:15:39 PM »
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 01, 2016, 08:13:36 PM
Paul behind Bush, Fiorina, and Christie? And I thought he could actually get fifth...

He's tied with Bush and Christie at 3%.  Don't read anything into the order I put them in.  Anyway, it's just an entrance poll.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #134 on: February 01, 2016, 08:16:27 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 01, 2016, 08:15:39 PM
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 01, 2016, 08:13:36 PM
Paul behind Bush, Fiorina, and Christie? And I thought he could actually get fifth...

He's tied with Bush and Christie at 3%.  Don't read anything into the order I put them in.  Anyway, it's just an entrance poll.


I see. Thanks for tolerating my noobiness, folks, this is my first time.
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #135 on: February 01, 2016, 08:16:39 PM »
CBS Entrance Poll

Trump 28%
Cruz 23%
Rubio 22%
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #136 on: February 01, 2016, 08:17:24 PM »
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #137 on: February 01, 2016, 08:18:34 PM »

JEBMENTUM IS REAL
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jaichind
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« Reply #138 on: February 01, 2016, 08:19:07 PM »
Quote from: SunSt0rm on February 01, 2016, 08:16:39 PM
CBS Entrance Poll

Trump 28%
Cruz 23%
Rubio 22%

Excellent result for Rubio
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #139 on: February 01, 2016, 08:19:24 PM »
Rubio is going to get a good bump out of a strong 3rd and if he gets second, then it would huge
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #140 on: February 01, 2016, 08:21:25 PM »
Rubio is doing well but can he survive Trump sweeping the first three?
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jaichind
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« Reply #141 on: February 01, 2016, 08:22:56 PM »
Quote from: Governor Illiniwek on February 01, 2016, 08:21:25 PM
Rubio is doing well but can he survive Trump sweeping the first three?

Yes, given that very few people identify Trump as their second choice.  Rubio will have to hope that Bush Christie etc etc mostly drop out.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #142 on: February 01, 2016, 08:24:44 PM »
Revised CNN entrance poll:

Trump ~27.5%
Cruz ~21.5%
Rubio ~21.5%
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Seriously?
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« Reply #143 on: February 01, 2016, 08:24:53 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on February 01, 2016, 08:22:56 PM
Quote from: Governor Illiniwek on February 01, 2016, 08:21:25 PM
Rubio is doing well but can he survive Trump sweeping the first three?

Yes, given that very few people identify Trump as their second choice.  Rubio will have to hope that Bush Christie etc etc mostly drop out.

I don't think either drop out ahead of New Hampshire... Perhaps in time for South Carolina or Super Tuesday.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #144 on: February 01, 2016, 08:25:17 PM »
Rubio is now in 2nd according to CBS

Trump 27
Rubio 23
Cruz 21
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #145 on: February 01, 2016, 08:25:37 PM »
Quote from: Andrew1 on February 01, 2016, 08:25:17 PM
Rubio is now in 2nd according to CBS

Trump 27
Rubio 23
Cruz 21

YASS
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #146 on: February 01, 2016, 08:25:44 PM »
Wolf said some GOP results are starting to trickle in.  Coming up next.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #147 on: February 01, 2016, 08:25:51 PM »
I still can't figure out why Grassley would endorse Paul so late in the game...

Anyway, LOL Rubio/Cruz
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jaichind
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« Reply #148 on: February 01, 2016, 08:25:55 PM »
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RI
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« Reply #149 on: February 01, 2016, 08:26:29 PM »
Later entrance polls favored Santorum heavily last time around.
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