Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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  Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)  (Read 33442 times)
ag
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« Reply #350 on: February 01, 2016, 09:53:59 PM »

I'd just like to say US pollsters can't poll for sh*t. German exit polls are usually incredibly accurate. How does Trump up by 5-7 turn into him losing by 4?

Because these are not exit polls: these are entrance polls. And this is not an election: it is a caucus. They poll people before they enter the room. In the room people speak, people talk to each other: many may change how they vote. It is a very different environment.
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Reginald
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« Reply #351 on: February 01, 2016, 09:53:59 PM »

lol BTFO

GOP establishment on suicide watch
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #352 on: February 01, 2016, 09:53:59 PM »

Carson has lost his counties... Sad

But anyway, the margins between all of the top three candidates has lessened.

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #353 on: February 01, 2016, 09:55:27 PM »

Big winner on the Republican side is Emerson College Polling.
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cinyc
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« Reply #354 on: February 01, 2016, 09:55:35 PM »


WOOOOOOOOOOOOO

EDIT: Changing avatar to R-TX for remainder of night.

Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk (AoSHQDD), NOT AP.  The AP hasn't called the race for anyone.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #355 on: February 01, 2016, 09:55:51 PM »

With 100% of the vote in, Carson beat Rubio for third by one vote in Page County (157-156).
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #356 on: February 01, 2016, 09:55:56 PM »

64% reporting:

CRUZ
32,026 Votes
28.2%

TRUMP
28,383 Votes
25.0%

RUBIO
24,810 Votes
21.9%
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #357 on: February 01, 2016, 09:56:00 PM »

Big winner on the Republican side is Emerson College Polling.


Has Boshembechle been vindicated?
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #358 on: February 01, 2016, 09:56:17 PM »

75% in, Cruz still up by 3500+
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #359 on: February 01, 2016, 09:57:26 PM »


Yes ..... we all agree with you both.
How dare the people of Iowa give Trump at least 2nd place.
We all hoped that Trump would be near the bottom of the list with Gilmore.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #360 on: February 01, 2016, 09:57:27 PM »


I'm done with these people. The state needs to be burned and salted.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #361 on: February 01, 2016, 09:57:54 PM »

This night is HILARIOUS RUBIO may pass Trump for 2nd at this rate LOLOLOLOL
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MyRescueKittehRocks
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« Reply #362 on: February 01, 2016, 09:58:30 PM »

Cruz winning, I can live with that.

To the establishment faction (Jeb, Kasich, Christie Trump), it's 1980 and we conservative grassroots folks are getting the top spot this time and this time, you get nothing.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #363 on: February 01, 2016, 09:58:51 PM »

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Mike Thick
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« Reply #364 on: February 01, 2016, 09:59:16 PM »


WOOOOOOOOOOOOO

EDIT: Changing avatar to R-TX for remainder of night.

Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk (AoSHQDD), NOT AP.  The AP hasn't called the race for anyone.

Sorry Sad. No avatar switching just yet
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #365 on: February 01, 2016, 09:59:30 PM »

Cruz winning, I can live with that.

To the establishment faction (Jeb, Kasich, Christie Trump), it's 1980 and we conservative grassroots folks are getting the top spot this time and this time, you get nothing.

Except unlike 1980 you get President Clinton or Sanders. Hopefully the establishment rubs the conservative grassroots folks noses in it HARD for it too.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #366 on: February 01, 2016, 09:59:37 PM »

67% reporting:

CRUZ
33,725 Votes
28.0%

TRUMP
30,000 Votes
24.9%

RUBIO
26,670 Votes
22.1%

Rubio 2.8% behind Trump now
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #367 on: February 01, 2016, 09:59:46 PM »

Too early.  Most of the vote is still out in Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, and Council Bluffs.  But knowing the news media, I wouldn't be surprised if they call it prematurely.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #368 on: February 01, 2016, 10:00:12 PM »

More vote in on the GOP side now than the Dems.  That's a change.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #369 on: February 01, 2016, 10:00:42 PM »

So is there some sort of catch here where Trump country hasn't reported in as much, or is Trump just busted?
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #370 on: February 01, 2016, 10:01:49 PM »

So is there some sort of catch here where Trump country hasn't reported in as much, or is Trump just busted?

Wait until the end but I imagine most of the Trump polling lead was due to ironic Trump supporters. Not as many people actually support the whack as it seems.
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cinyc
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« Reply #371 on: February 01, 2016, 10:01:54 PM »

Too early.  Most of the vote is still out in Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, and Council Bluffs.  But knowing the news media, I wouldn't be surprised if they call it prematurely.

Not the news media (AP).  Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk, an upstart Internet competitor to the AP.  They've also projected Clinton the winner on the Democratic side, FWIW.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #372 on: February 01, 2016, 10:01:56 PM »

More vote in on the GOP side now than the Dems.  That's a change.

A glitch?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #373 on: February 01, 2016, 10:03:01 PM »

71% reporting:

CRUZ
36,151 Votes
27.8%

TRUMP
32,074 Votes
24.7%

RUBIO
29,265 Votes
22.5%

Rubio 1.8% behind now
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #374 on: February 01, 2016, 10:03:11 PM »

I'm surprised Rand Paul actually has more votes than Jeb.
But of course, both are doing horribly compared to the top-3.
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