Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)

[cinyc]

CBS News' entrance poll was something like 29% Trump, 22% Cruz, 20% Rubio.

[cinyc]

CBS News' entrance poll

Do you have a link?

No.  I saw it on TV.

[cinyc]

My math on the GOP entrance poll:

Trump ~29%
Cruz ~22%
Rubio ~19%
Fiorina ~4%
Huckabee ~3.5%
Bush ~3%
Christie ~3%
Paul ~3%
Kasich ~1.5%
Santorum ~1.5%

That only adds to 89.5.  Who gets the other 10% or so?

[cinyc]

Fiorina doing pretty well in 5th.  I thought she would be way below that.  Bush doing badly, even worse than I expected given I expected some tactical voting for Rubio which did seem to take place.

Fiorina decided to put some TV ads up in the days leading up to the caucus.  Bush was relying on his superPAC for Iowa TV advertising.  They were feebly attacking John Kasich in their Iowa ads, which made no sense.

[cinyc]

One thing I noticed about the Microsoft results site:  If you click on a county, you get a precinct-level map.

But the site's been funky the past few minutes.

The Microsoft results site: https://www.iagopcaucuses.com/#/state

[cinyc]

Decision Desk at AP calling Iowa for CRUZ

WOOOOOOOOOOOOO

EDIT: Changing avatar to R-TX for remainder of night.

Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk (AoSHQDD), NOT AP.  The AP hasn't called the race for anyone.

[cinyc]

Decision Desk at AP calling Iowa for CRUZ

Too early.  Most of the vote is still out in Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, and Council Bluffs.  But knowing the news media, I wouldn't be surprised if they call it prematurely.

Not the news media (AP).  Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk, an upstart Internet competitor to the AP.  They've also projected Clinton the winner on the Democratic side, FWIW.

[cinyc]

Fox News: Cruz wins Iowa.  Trump second.  Rubio a close third.  Carson a distant fourth.  Paul in fifth.

[cinyc]

One precinct is still out, does anyone know where it is?

Coralville 03, Johnson County.