Will Sanders win a contest other than NH and VT?

[tpfkaw]

Here's the primary/caucus schedule.

[This account no longer in use.]

In a perfect world, he wouldn't. But the fact that we actually have an election with candidates other than Hillary Clinton proves that this is not a perfect world.

[IceSpear]

I actually don't see him winning any primaries besides NH/VT. His best shots are MA (March 1st) and WI (April 5th.) I don't see him making it to April 26th to target states like CT/RI.

I do think he'll win at least a few caucuses though. NV, MN, CO, NE, ME, ID, UT, WA, WY are all possibilities, depending on how long he stays in.

[Eraserhead]

Yes. Clinton remains the strong favorite to win the nomination though.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I could see him winning in Maine. I'm not sure that he'll still be in by the time Alaska votes (caucuses).

[Stan]

Depends by a lot of factors: not only about His campaign, but about Clinton's campaign too.

His best shots are Maine and (maybe) Massachusetts. Maybe Alaska, Colorado and Rhode Island too. If he will win in more then two-three states, for Hillary Clinton can be a lame victory.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Minnesota which is an open caucus might be his best Super Tuesday state after Vermont.

[Mr. Morden]

I think there's a strong chance that he doesn't win any primaries other than NH/VT.  Caucuses, I don't know.  I might have guessed that he'd have a shot at the CO and MN caucuses on Super Tuesday, but I don't know how to handicap the caucuses now that Sanders is getting more support from poors and less support from the wealthy.  The Sanders voters look less like the Obama '08 voters than they did a few months ago, so is he necessarily going to have an advantage in those low turnout caucuses like Obama did?

[NerdyBohemian]

Lol @ people who think Sanders will win RI.

The only state I can imagine him MAYBE winning other than the ones in the title is Maine.

[°Leprechaun]

He could win a number of states, perhaps Nevada perhaps one or more in March (other than VT).
To win any April states he has to win some before that. So it all depends on March.

[Torie]

How about Wisconsin?

[°Leprechaun]

How about Wisconsin?

If he is still viable, Wisconsin is a very likely Sanders win. It doesn't vote until April 5, however, so it all depends on how many states that he can win in March to still be competitive by April.

[Asian Nazi]

If he's still in, he will win WA and OR.  But in order to still be in by WA and OR he will have had to have won other states anyway.

[RJEvans]

If Sanders can keep the momentum going (which he will with the NH primary), I think CO and MN, along with VT goes to his column easily on Super Tuesday. I think there may be an outside chance of MA going to him if he is particularly strong. I'll reserve judgment on the southern states until we see how he performs in SC.

[Kingpoleon]

ME, VT, NH, NV, CO, MN, AK, HI, OR, WA are all possible Sanders victories. It all comes down to Nevada, IMHO.

[Landslide Lyndon]

If Sanders can keep the momentum going (which he will with the NH primary), I think CO and MN, along with VT goes to his column easily on Super Tuesday. I think there may be an outside chance of MA going to him if he is particularly strong. I'll reserve judgment on the southern states until we see how he performs in SC.

Massachusetts is a machine state. Obama lost by 15 points even though he was endorsed by the governor and both its senators.

[Krzysztof Lesiak]

I think besides NH and VT he could win Maine, but that's about it.

[Ogre Mage]

Of the early states, Maine and Minnesota stand out as potentially good states for Sanders -- caucus states with a mostly white liberal Democratic base.  Colorado could be interesting.  Sanders independent streak may appeal there and polling suggests that it is a weak state for Hillary.

I would not write Massachusetts off entirely, but as LL mentioned it is a Democratic machine state.  I think a Sanders victory there would be unlikely.

[Suburbia]

ME, VT, NH, NV, CO, MN, AK, HI, OR, WA are all possible Sanders victories. It all comes down to Nevada, IMHO.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

He'll only win caucuses, not so much that he'll do better in caucuses but that the early states in the calendar he has a chance of winning happen to be caucuses.   I think he could win ME, CO, NE and MN, but beware the Ides of March primaries which could put Hillary over the edge.

[Xing]

A lot depends on what happens in the next month. If things stay the way they are, he has a decent shot in several Western states, some of the upper/interior Midwest, and some of the Northeast. He'll need momentum to contest more of the country.

[YPestis25]

I think yes, especially in some of the whiter caucus states, but a lot of it will depend on the narrative coming out of New Hampshire. If the story is a big Bernie win and the media plays it up a lot, he could definitely win some later states.

[Maxwell]

Minnesota which is an open caucus might be his best Super Tuesday state after Vermont.

I thought that as well.

[JMT]

I think he definitely has a shot, but a lot depends on what happens on Super Tuesday. Bernie will win NH, and I think he can pull off a win in Nevada as well. South Carolina will go for Clinton, however.

On Super Tuesday, Bernie will definitely get Vermont, that's pretty much guaranteed. Beyond that, I could also see him winning the Colorado and Minnesota caucuses, and the Massachusetts primary. That would probably be the best case scenario for Bernie (winning New Hampshire, Nevada, Minnesota, Colorado, and Massachusetts). If he pulls this off, or at least wins most of the primaries / caucuses previously mentioned, then he'll do well in later caucuses as well. But if he fails to win Nevada and only secures Vermont on Super Tuesday (worst case scenario for Bernie), then he'll be in trouble and probably won't win much else.