Who'll win the New Hampshire primaries?

[Senator Cris]

?

[Sir Mohamed]

Bernie and The Trumpster.

[NeverAgain]

Bernie and The Trumpster.

[BM]

Sanders, but the media should correctly point out that it's practically his home state and therefore a meaningless victory.

Trump, but Rubio will steal support from Jeb, Christie, Kasich, etc and the thirsty media will declare him the real winner again.

[RI]

NH is Trump's firewall. If he can't win there, he's done. Same with Sanders.

[Maxwell]

NH is Trump's firewall. If he can't win there, he's done. Same with Sanders.

[Asian Nazi]

NH is Trump's firewall. If he can't win there, he's done. Same with Sanders.

[Torie]

Still going with Trump. Rubio going hard on God in Iowa will hold him down some in NH I suspect, so I don't see him causing the other establishment lane candidates to collapse. So while Trump may erode, I would expect him to still win. Sanders of course on the Dem side. I do wonder if some of the Jeb support will move to Kasich though. It would be nice if Jeb was finished off in NH. He has been a negative influence now for some time. He's really offered little if anything to the conversation, and his PAC is toxic, with the silliest of personal attacks being slung around.

[PresidentTRUMP]

Republicans:

Trump - 28%
Rubio - 18%
Cruz - 15%
Kasich -12%
Bush - 9%
Christie - 9%
Paul - 5%
Carson - 3%
Fiorina -1%

Democrats:

Sanders - 60%
Clinton - 40%

[Illiniwek]

NH is Trump's firewall. If he can't win there, he's done. Same with Sanders.

True. They will win, but watch the gaps close.

[Torie]

I posted this on RRH, so I might as well copy and paste it here:

"My point of view is that for Rubio to do as well as some here hope or project in NH, he will need to change his style a bit. He is too scripted, and his speeches too canned, and he needs to mix it up more. And he should not shy away from doing so, because Rubio is at his best when attacked. He also needs to tone down some wearing God on his sleeve while in NH. At the moment, if I lived in NH, I still would probably vote for Kasich at the moment, although I certainly would have voted for Rubio in Iowa. But I would be open to Rubio, if I became more confident he could handle the back and forth, and there was something behind his focus group tested but rather empty in substance stump speech.
But I also don’t think Rubio needs to come in second in NH to stay in the hunt, and perhaps as the favorite. It would be helpful though if he came in ahead of Cruz in NH. I really think Rubio is playing hard for South Carolina, where his evangelical light approach, mixed with pragmatism, and pleasant personality and good temperament, is a way to stay close in the piedmont, while winning big in the tidewater area, in SC. I think he thinks that is more important than NH, and I tend to agree with him. SC is the key for Rubio.

I remember back in 2008, in NH, when McCain had those splendid town hall meetings, doing real back and forth, while Romney had his “ask Romney anything” town hall meetings, but that title was false and misleading, as he just gave his lifeless and boring stump speech, and took about 3 questions, and left. I knew at that point that McCain had an excellent shot of overtaking Romney, and he did. So be forewarned Rubio. Don’t go the Romney route!

Just my two cents.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

D: Sanders, by AT LEAST 15 points, maybe 20.

R: Trump, but Rubio will make it much more competitive than anyone expected before Iowa, propelling him to legit frontrunner status.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Trump and Sanders

[President Johnson]

Bernie by about 10%.

The Republican primary will be won by The Donald.

[tallguy23]

Sanders for sure.

The polls say Trump but my gut tells me Rubio pulls out a surprise victory.

[Kingpoleon]

Still going with Trump. Rubio going hard on God in Iowa will hold him down some in NH I suspect, so I don't see him causing the other establishment lane candidates to collapse. So while Trump may erode, I would expect him to still win. Sanders of course on the Dem side. I do wonder if some of the Jeb support will move to Kasich though. It would be nice if Jeb was finished off in NH. He has been a negative influence now for some time. He's really offered little if anything to the conversation, and his PAC is toxic, with the silliest of personal attacks being slung around.

Your electoral analysis sounds fine and dandy.

[Suburbia]

Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.

[Mike Thick]

I'm hoping Rubio takes it, but until there's more data in after Iowa I'm going to have to say Trump.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Bernie, but by less than public polls suggest. I'd say perhaps a 12 point margin at the largest,

Trump will win in NH, as that was his focus far more so than Iowa. Either Kasich or Cruz will come in second, which will stall any media-created momentum that Rubio had coming off of his "victory" in Iowa

[OSR stands with Israel]

Kasich and Sanders

[The Other Castro]

Sanders by at least 10%, though probably closer to  15%. I'm less sure about Trump, but I still think the establishment split will be just even enough to keep Trump in 1st.

[Maxwell]

Bernie, but by less than public polls suggest. I'd say perhaps a 12 point margin at the largest,

here here!

[Consciously Unconscious]

Sanders and Trump, with Rubio hopefully coming up in a fairly close second.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Sanders and let me update it when we get a better idea of the post-Iowa GOP landscape

[Ogre Mage]

At this point, Sanders and Trump.