Who wins South Carolina?
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Question: Who wins South Carolina?
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Trump		  
#2
Cruz		  
#3
Rubio		  
#4
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Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Who wins South Carolina?  (Read 1808 times)
mencken
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« on: February 04, 2016, 09:46:39 AM »
Seems like a three-way tossup at this point.

  • This will be demographically friendlier turf for Trump than the first two states
  • The establishment is going to try to coalesce behind Rubio ASAP (although Bush can be a significant thorn in their side, even if he does end up getting only a few percentage points)
  • This is also friendly turf for Cruz (although Carson can be a significant thorn in his side)
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2016, 10:15:03 AM »
Why does everyone assume Rubio will have a shot in South Carolina? That is a Cruz-Trump friendly state.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2016, 10:16:23 AM »
If Cruz and Trump split the vote and Bush is out by then, Rubio has a decent shot there. Reminder: McCain won there in 2008.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2016, 10:18:40 AM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 04, 2016, 10:15:03 AM
Why does everyone assume Rubio will have a shot in South Carolina? That is a Cruz-Trump friendly state.

Vote splitting means that pretty much everyone has a shot everywhere.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2016, 10:20:22 AM »
Scott and Gowdy endorsements could be critical there to boost Rubio. Trump is the favorite there tho, but that depends on who and how many drop out after NH which is still TBD.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2016, 10:29:56 AM »
South Carolina is hardly going to vote for someone notorious primarily for being arrested with a gay porn baron in 1990, folks.
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Uhh_murican
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2016, 11:28:49 AM »
Trump. They love him in the South.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2016, 11:34:17 AM »
TRUMP
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2016, 11:39:16 AM »
Trump or Rubio. I just can't see Cruz winning here. SC usually goes for the establishment aside from Gingrich, and I'd argue he's establishment given he was a former speaker of the house.
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Lord of the Dome
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2016, 11:39:27 AM »
I'm gonna go out on a bit of a limb here and say Trump. I still believe he'll win NH pretty convincingly and I think that momentum (given he's thought of as a dead man walking at this point) will last him till at least South Carolina and put him over the edge.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2016, 11:49:19 AM »
Rubio comes in 2nd or 3rd, but he'll still be declared the "winner".
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2016, 12:09:20 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 04, 2016, 11:49:19 AM
Rubio comes in 2nd or 3rd, but he'll still be declared the "winner".

I just wonder how long the media will continue to push Rubio if he finishes in 3rd in NH and fails to win SC.

The only way Rubio could win is if Bush, Kasich, and Christie all drop out, and I don't see that happening until at least until after the March 1 primaries, and by then Trump may have enough momentum that he can't be stopped.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2016, 02:38:40 PM »
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2016, 02:40:38 PM »
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