NH - NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: Sanders leads Clinton 58-38
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  NH - NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: Sanders leads Clinton 58-38		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NH - NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: Sanders leads Clinton 58-38  (Read 1434 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: February 04, 2016, 04:07:44 PM »
NH poll conducted over 2/2-2/3:

Sanders - 58%
Clinton - 38%

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-sanders-leads-clinton-20-points-new-hampshire-n511456
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2016, 04:08:42 PM »
Glorious Poll!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2016, 04:10:34 PM »
What a nice poll.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2016, 04:13:49 PM »
What a classy poll.

Even if it's a short-lived victory, I'm going to enjoy Tuesday night.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2016, 04:14:30 PM »
The real kicker here is the Sanders lead with men.

Men: Sanders leads 70(!)-25
Women: Sanders leads 50-46
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2016, 04:17:01 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 04, 2016, 04:13:29 PM
Tossup/Tilt Sanders IMO. But a Clinton win here wouldn't surprise me at all.

You should invest on PredictIt. You could get $100 back for an investment of $7 on a Clinton win. Tongue
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2016, 04:19:19 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 04, 2016, 04:13:29 PM
Tossup/Tilt Sanders IMO. But a Clinton win here wouldn't surprise me at all.

I'm honestly curious, what do you think is the maximum possible margin by which Sanders could win New Hampshire?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2016, 04:24:28 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 04, 2016, 04:14:30 PM
The real kicker here is the Sanders lead with men.

Men: Sanders leads 70(!)-25
Women: Sanders leads 50-46


Based on the Iowa, I'd be very surprised if the gender gap ends up being that large.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2016, 04:50:10 PM »
Yowzers!

How will the Democratic electorate react when Bernie kicks Hillary right in her big ol' buttcheeks in a landslide!?

Great poll!
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2016, 05:04:41 PM »
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2016, 05:05:34 PM »
Vile - but ballpark of where I think this is.
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Zanas
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« Reply #11 on: February 05, 2016, 03:21:04 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 04, 2016, 04:24:28 PM
Quote from: Castro on February 04, 2016, 04:14:30 PM
The real kicker here is the Sanders lead with men.

Men: Sanders leads 70(!)-25
Women: Sanders leads 50-46


Based on the Iowa, I'd be very surprised if the gender gap ends up being that large.
Totally agree. Clinton should end up winning women by 5-10, and Sanders winning men by no more than 20-25. This should bring Sanders' victory in the high single digits/low double digits territory, but clear enough.
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Shadows
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« Reply #12 on: February 05, 2016, 08:58:57 AM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on February 05, 2016, 03:21:04 AM
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 04, 2016, 04:24:28 PM
Quote from: Castro on February 04, 2016, 04:14:30 PM
The real kicker here is the Sanders lead with men.

Men: Sanders leads 70(!)-25
Women: Sanders leads 50-46


Based on the Iowa, I'd be very surprised if the gender gap ends up being that large.
Totally agree. Clinton should end up winning women by 5-10, and Sanders winning men by no more than 20-25. This should bring Sanders' victory in the high single digits/low double digits territory, but clear enough.

Maybe this poll assumes more young people voting & Sanders is getting 85% of votes of young women too.

Have to study the demographic break-up which will hugely influence these polls
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