NH-CNN/WMUR Poll: Trump leading, Rubio in 2nd
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  NH-CNN/WMUR Poll: Trump leading, Rubio in 2nd		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NH-CNN/WMUR Poll: Trump leading, Rubio in 2nd  (Read 2388 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: February 04, 2016, 05:09:15 PM »
« edited: February 04, 2016, 05:15:24 PM by Castro »
Trump - 29% (No change)
Rubio - 18% (+7)
Cruz - 13% (+1)
Kasich - 12% (+2)
Bush - 10% (+1)
Christie - 4% (-5)
Fiorina - 4% (No change)
Carson - 2% (No change)
Gilmore - 0% (No change)

http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/04/politics/gop-new-hampshire-cnn-wmur-poll-full-results/index.html
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JRP1994
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2016, 05:10:23 PM »
http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/GOPPrimary_20416.pdf
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2016, 05:11:26 PM »
Rubio's going to win this, isn't he? F**k!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2016, 05:11:55 PM »
If Kasich and Jeb voters take the hint, Trump is in big trouble.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2016, 05:12:19 PM »
Lol @ 37% of likely voters saying they'd never support Trump on primary day
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2016, 05:12:59 PM »
If these numbers hold, it's bad news for Trump.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2016, 05:13:25 PM »
awwww christie dawg 4% u serious damn aww sh**t dude

negative ads really knocked this guy down to size.

and sh**t rubio surgin'
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jfern
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« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2016, 05:13:32 PM »
Trump 29 (0)
Rubio 18 (+7)
Cruz 13 (+1)
Kasich 12 (+2)
Bush 10 (+1)
Christie 4 (-5)
Fiornia 4 (0)
Carson 2 (0)
Gilmore 0 (0)

Stick a fork in Christie.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2016, 05:14:40 PM »
At least fatso will be gone after Tuesday.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2016, 05:15:08 PM »
Hopefully Bush and Kasich people get the subtle hint and back Rubio to stop TRUMP
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cinyc
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2016, 05:15:15 PM »
CNN/WMUR UNH NH Republican Primary Poll
February 2-4 (Post-Iowa)
Trump 29%
Rubio 18%
Cruz 13%
Kasich 12%
Bush 10%
Christie 4%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Other 2%
Gilmore 0%
Undecided 8%

January 31-February 1 (Pre-Iowa)
Trump 29%
Cruz 12%
Rubio 11%
Kasich 10%
Bush 9%
Christie 9%
Other 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Gilmore 0%
Undecided 9%

Sample sizes were small: 362 pre-Iowa and 209 post-Iowa.  MoE are +/-5.2 and 6.8, respectively.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2016, 05:16:15 PM »
Rubio starting to break out of the "establishment glut". But he's going to have to erode Kasich or Jebra's support and get the undecideds to actually win.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2016, 05:19:39 PM »
wish they had pre and post trumpertantrum numbers
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2016, 05:20:03 PM »
Christie has seen a serious decline over the past two weeks. At one point he was considered a guy who could win New Hampshire and was massively overrated (like Rubio now). Now, he's the only candidate to not obtain any delegates from Iowa and will end his campaign soon after New Hampshire.
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jfern
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« Reply #14 on: February 04, 2016, 05:21:13 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 04, 2016, 05:14:40 PM
At least fatso will be gone after Tuesday.

Yeah, I think he and Fiornia drop out after NH. The Gilmore will be impressed with his 5 votes and stay in. And Carson will stay in to attack Cruz when he isn't sleeping during the debates.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #15 on: February 04, 2016, 05:23:00 PM »
Seems like Christie people are jumping ship to Rubio, and I read that even some Bush, Kasich people will tactical vote for Rubio to stop Trump
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #16 on: February 04, 2016, 05:23:05 PM »
also Strategic voting could help Rubio at the expense of Bush and Kasich
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #17 on: February 04, 2016, 05:29:20 PM »
Trump is going to go after Rubio
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #18 on: February 04, 2016, 05:32:39 PM »
There's still about 10 percent of the vote to grab as well. If NH turns out to be anything like Iowa for Rubio, it's bad news for just about everyone in the field.

Rubio's going to get absolutely destroyed at the debate this weekend.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #19 on: February 04, 2016, 05:34:17 PM »
Boi if Rubio does extremely well or outright wins New Hampshire, you're looking at the presumptive nominee here
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #20 on: February 04, 2016, 05:56:35 PM »
Very good result for Rubio. I'm curious as to whether Trump will underperform the polls here (like he did in Iowa) as well.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #21 on: February 04, 2016, 06:00:16 PM »
    Main problem for the Donald is that while his support is holding steady, the over 70% or so primary voters who aren't supporting him now may be beginning to solidify behind Rubio.  Any guesses as to who the 2nd choice of Kasich/Bush Christie voters are? I think we know the answer.
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pikachu
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« Reply #22 on: February 04, 2016, 06:05:10 PM »
The numbers make sense, but isn't UNH a notoriously bad pollster?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #23 on: February 04, 2016, 06:35:47 PM »
The problem is that none of the establishment candidates have presented themselves as the alternative to Trump in New Hampshire. Hence why several of them have hovered around 10%. Now that Rubio is asserting himself, I expect Bush and Katich's support to drop in the next few days.

Tossup/Tilt Trump
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Matty
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« Reply #24 on: February 04, 2016, 06:43:20 PM »
IMPORTANT ISSUE WITH THIS POLL

only 38% of responders say they have a college degree.

In 2012, 56% of NH primary voters had a degree.
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