WBZ-UMass Amherst NH Poll: Trump 33, Rubio 14; Sanders 57, Clinton 33
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  WBZ-UMass Amherst NH Poll: Trump 33, Rubio 14; Sanders 57, Clinton 33
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Author Topic: WBZ-UMass Amherst NH Poll: Trump 33, Rubio 14; Sanders 57, Clinton 33  (Read 651 times)
cinyc
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« on: February 05, 2016, 12:39:47 AM »

WBZ U-Mass Amherst NH Poll
Republican
Trump 33%
Rubio 14%
Kasich 10%
Cruz 9%
Bush 6%
Christie 5%
Carson 3%
Fiorina 3%

(Unknown dates; 390 LV, MoE +/-7.1).  The high MoE makes me think they're using a post-Iowa subsample that's smaller than that - but the WBZ article doesn't give polling dates.

Democratic
Sanders 57%
Clinton 33%
(Unknown dates; 410 LV, MoE +-6.6)
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Zanas
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« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2016, 05:31:16 AM »

Yeah a 7.1 MoE points to a 194 sample, and a 6.6 MoE to a 225 sample.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2016, 04:31:41 PM »

Looks like the poll is actually mostly pre-Iowa (conducted Jan. 29 - Feb. 2):

http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20160205_Toplines.pdf
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2016, 04:35:42 PM »

Looks like the poll is actually mostly pre-Iowa (conducted Jan. 29 - Feb. 2):

http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20160205_Toplines.pdf


The high MoEs must be due to the methodology, then.  It's not a pure random sample.  There is some weighing voodoo going on.
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