Trump's misleading "massive" NH lead

[Matty]

1) Trump is running up the margins with trailer park dwellers (low income, low education)- these people as a general rule just don't show up to the polls much

2) A whopping 50% of NH voters still say they can change their minds. This means that we will see a lot of strategic voting from kasich/bush/christie voters.

3) An astounding 40% of GOPers in NH say they will NEVER consider voting for trump on tuesday.

All in all, trump likely has a three point lead.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Does your twin brother know something we don't?

[RFayette]

Does your twin brother know something we don't?

[Matty]

Does your twin brother know something we don't?

SHUT UP,

[PresidentTRUMP]

Yes those numbers show when the field dwindles down to just a few candidates he may be in trouble....but with the field this big still and many candidates splitting the vote Trump should win by 10% give or take, thats what the polls are saying atleast.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Does your twin brother know something we don't?

SHUT UP,

Real nice, go try trolling somewhere else

[Broken System]

Unreliable user, but not necessarily completely wrong here.

With voters pooling onto Rubio, low Trump turnout, and NH voters being much less stable than Iowa voters, Trump's lead is a paper tiger. It's probably not extreme to say Trump is the underdog here.

[Kevin]

Unreliable user, but not necessarily completely wrong here.

With voters pooling onto Rubio, low Trump turnout, and NH voters being much less stable than Iowa voters, Trump's lead is a paper tiger. It's probably not extreme to say Trump is the underdog here.

Not to mention that the Donald has invested nothing in his ground game compared to all the other candidates.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Unreliable user, but not necessarily completely wrong here.

With voters pooling onto Rubio, low Trump turnout, and NH voters being much less stable than Iowa voters, Trump's lead is a paper tiger. It's probably not extreme to say Trump is the underdog here.

Not to mention that the Donald has invested nothing in his ground game compared to all the other candidates.

the Donald will always under-perform.

[Ronnie]

Unreliable user, but not necessarily completely wrong here.

With voters pooling onto Rubio, low Trump turnout, and NH voters being much less stable than Iowa voters, Trump's lead is a paper tiger. It's probably not extreme to say Trump is the underdog here.

I don't think that "underdog" is the appropriate word to use, since he's up by at least 10 in the polls right now, and is still the overwhelming favorite in prediction markets.  I think "toss-up" is as far as I'd go.  But yes, he has some real structural problems. 

[SillyAmerican]

I don't think that "underdog" is the appropriate word to use, since he's up by at least 10 in the polls right now, and is still the overwhelming favorite in prediction markets.  I think "toss-up" is as far as I'd go.  But yes, he has some real structural problems. 

Yes. Two points.

(1) Whether the lead is 3% or double digits, the fact is that Trump is leading. We'll see Tuesday what happens, but I think the true contest begins in the south.

(2) It's a bit interesting that Trump is doing as well as he is, given the fact that others have much better organizations on the ground. Trump is taking advantage of the strong anti-establishment sentiment that's being felt across the board this cycle. Whether he can ride this to the nomination remains to be seen, but I don't think those who continue to say that Trump's support is about to collapse are giving enough credit to the electorate's unrest right now.

Trump is not an "underdog", although he might not be the invincible option his supporters portray him to be. It's a very interesting year, to say the least...

[Maxwell]

Time to retire, bud.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, it was still closer than the Democratic side. LOL.